Downward channel breached. Consolidation before uptrend.
MRNAThe price has tested the 112.60 - 113 support level after consolidating at the 0.618 fibonacci level. As the price moves further and further away from the downward channel and as price takes support on the 50 day EMA on the daily and hourly chart, I think it can continue it's up-move as more bulls gain confidence. In hindsight I think I've identified a head and shoulders pattern at the top, right after the high, the head peaking at about 170. After the neckline was breached, the downward channel began forming, as investors pulled their funds because the sales and performance of vaccine was a risk factor and better cash out when the hype was at its peak, and this drop was further accelerated by fears of new virus strains and end-of-year selling for tax purposes and to take profits.
Now the stock price has likely bottomed out, since the next lower level of around 95 was not reached and price is stabilizing. Moderna will have to prove it can uphold its promises and successfully bring some of its pipeline into production, for the price to reach the highs again and beyond. The billions of cash flow is a great start.
Let me know if you agree or disagree with my analysis.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.