Options GEX Outlook (04/22/2025):
* Current Price: $373
* IVR/IVX: 55.6 / 39.4
* Options Sentiment: PUTs 19.4% (moderately bearish but not extreme)
* GEX Walls:
* Support (PUT Wall): $352.50 (Highest negative NETGEX)
* Resistance (CALL Wall): $380 (69.1% GEX) – this is the most meaningful upside wall
* Implication: MSFT is hovering just under a high-interest gamma zone at $377.5–380. Option sellers may defend this area, making it sticky and resistant. However, if bulls can break and hold above $380, gamma flip pressure could fuel continuation toward $390.
Technical Analysis + Scalping Bias (1H + SMC Co-Pilot):
* HTF SMC Bias (15min): Bullish structure forming, but not fully aligned.
* Trend Strength: Weak to Mixed — price is reacting, but structure lacks full confluence.
* Market Structure: No clear BOS or CHoCH yet, indicating the need for a clean break before committing.
* Volume: Strong Momentum Spike (1.25x) supporting this bounce.
* RSI, MACD, BBP: All Bullish, indicating price strength, but no defined setup yet.
* EMA/VWAP Reaction Zone: Currently testing EMA9 and watching for confirmation.
* Strength Meter: ⚠️ Mixed bias — 2/5 score.
Trade Thoughts:
* Above 374–377.5: This is the short-term battleground. If MSFT can hold this area with volume support, it may move toward the 380–385 gamma wall.
* Below 367.5: Breakdown of this level would invalidate bullish bias and shift momentum back toward 360–355.
* No Clear Trade Yet: You're in a zone of indecision. Scalpers should wait for CHoCH + BOS or break of EMA support to lean into a direction.
Action Plan:
* ⚠️ Stay Patient — Wait for a clean structure shift (BOS/CHoCH) above 377.5.
* ✅ Watch Volume — Sustained volume could confirm a breakout.
* 🔁 Key Levels to Monitor: 367.5 (support), 377.5–380 (gamma wall resistance)
Conclusion: MSFT is testing resistance near key option gamma walls. Structure is building, but lacks confirmation for a clean entry. If it clears 380 with volume and structure support, the breakout could get legs. For now, manage risk and wait for confirmation.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
* Current Price: $373
* IVR/IVX: 55.6 / 39.4
* Options Sentiment: PUTs 19.4% (moderately bearish but not extreme)
* GEX Walls:
* Support (PUT Wall): $352.50 (Highest negative NETGEX)
* Resistance (CALL Wall): $380 (69.1% GEX) – this is the most meaningful upside wall
* Implication: MSFT is hovering just under a high-interest gamma zone at $377.5–380. Option sellers may defend this area, making it sticky and resistant. However, if bulls can break and hold above $380, gamma flip pressure could fuel continuation toward $390.
Technical Analysis + Scalping Bias (1H + SMC Co-Pilot):
* HTF SMC Bias (15min): Bullish structure forming, but not fully aligned.
* Trend Strength: Weak to Mixed — price is reacting, but structure lacks full confluence.
* Market Structure: No clear BOS or CHoCH yet, indicating the need for a clean break before committing.
* Volume: Strong Momentum Spike (1.25x) supporting this bounce.
* RSI, MACD, BBP: All Bullish, indicating price strength, but no defined setup yet.
* EMA/VWAP Reaction Zone: Currently testing EMA9 and watching for confirmation.
* Strength Meter: ⚠️ Mixed bias — 2/5 score.
Trade Thoughts:
* Above 374–377.5: This is the short-term battleground. If MSFT can hold this area with volume support, it may move toward the 380–385 gamma wall.
* Below 367.5: Breakdown of this level would invalidate bullish bias and shift momentum back toward 360–355.
* No Clear Trade Yet: You're in a zone of indecision. Scalpers should wait for CHoCH + BOS or break of EMA support to lean into a direction.
Action Plan:
* ⚠️ Stay Patient — Wait for a clean structure shift (BOS/CHoCH) above 377.5.
* ✅ Watch Volume — Sustained volume could confirm a breakout.
* 🔁 Key Levels to Monitor: 367.5 (support), 377.5–380 (gamma wall resistance)
Conclusion: MSFT is testing resistance near key option gamma walls. Structure is building, but lacks confirmation for a clean entry. If it clears 380 with volume and structure support, the breakout could get legs. For now, manage risk and wait for confirmation.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.