MSTR vs BTC?

Updated
MSTR vs BTC?
For some dumb reason MSTR is up +235% in 1 year while BTC is up +167%. That's a wide discrepancy in valuation. As of November 30, 2023 MicroStrategy owns 174,530 bitcoins. MicroStrategy states the average purchase price is $30,252 USD per bitcoin with a total cost of 5.28b USD. MicroStrategy had debt of 2.18B at the end of September 2023. It has 45m in cash leading to a net debt of about 2.14b. MicroStrategy has a current unrealized Bitcoin profit of +43%.

Which coincidently, if they were able to liquidate all of their Bitcoin holdings immediately without tanking the market, would result in MicroStrategy being virtually debt free. However, MicroStrategy Bitcoin HODL strategy has resulted in unrealized losses for 90% of the time. Over the last twelve months MicroStrategy produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Another cause for caution is 580m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months.

Conclusion. MicroStrategy should not be up more than Bitcoin.

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Bitcoin 2 week chart:

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Fundamental Analysis

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