US 100 Cash CFD
Short
Updated

NAS100...Hungry Bears are Here

286
NAS100

Last Thursday after an approximate 2 week run, the bears took over the market by putting together the first full trend move on the H1.

As you would have seen in my previous posts, the move ended at the 78% retracement line on the H4 sell fibs before immediately breaking structure with a direct move from a H1 HH straight to a LOW...followed by a LH on Friday morning (the exit that I missed) to then complete the trend move sequence with a LL that ended at the 50% mark on the original H4 sell fibs.

What does this mean for the week ahead?

1. The Daily ended the week at a LH still maintaining the current trend of LH/LL.

2. The H4 ended the week at a segmented HIGH (corresponding with the LH of the Daily timeframe) and now requires a LOW to complete the current High to LOW sequence.

3. The H1 is currently sitting at the LL which has just started the sequence required to complete the required LOW on the H4.

As you all know, my strategy for understanding my TP targets has had to do with the price going back to test the original break line (in this case the previous H4 high break line at14826.12)

Using my fibs for extra confirmation, I am looking for a 61% -78% retracement coupled with a completed H4 low that will signal that it is time for me to start looking for buys again as this move would have been completed.

Until this happens, the market will continue to sell to fulfill the required LOW on the H4.

How will I trade this?

1. Since LH/LL will be required for the H4 to complete the LOW...my entries will only be from my H1 LH's (combined with my M30 highs that break previous LH's to be formed)

2. H1 Highs combined with (H4 LH's needed to complete a H4 segmented LOW in my marked BUY ZONE)

While this is the current scenario I am seeing, please note that I am prepared to make adjustments should the market decide to give different signals and this is where patience and attentiveness to market conditions will play a key role.

Just remember that price cannot sell from a low or buy from a high and so my entry timeframes must be at the current place for me to take the correct trade.

I have posted the review videos for last week that showed the one trade that I missed on friday due to not taking the exit sign that was given to me in the moment and so I had to close that trade manually. (check out the video at Auber forex strategies)

As it stands now my bias is bearish, however for me to enter the market conditions must be met to have a successful and stress-free trading experience.

Until I post again, you can get live updates on my minds.

Have a great trading week and God Bless you all.

#aubersystem
#auberstrategy
#whwwewait
#patience

No setup = no trade
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Yesterday saw high levels of volatility with price bouncing around the 61% and 50% on the H1 Fibs without registering any type of High on the H4.

Price got as far up to register a LH on the H3 fibs before dealing with a measure of rejection, however continuing the consolidation overnight, it now seems to want to make a meaningful low to complete the assigned task...which is to finish the LOW for the H4 timeframe.

As usual the first half of the week is filled with consolidation moves and so, the strategy has to be clear, otherwise bouts of volatility can cause you to question your original analysis and make impulsive moves that could ruin an otherwise great week of trading.

For now, I continue to hold my entries made yesterday as I make my way down to the required LOW on the H4 timeframe.

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#patience
#whywewait

no setup = no trade
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I Posted a video review of the single trade I took so far this week on my youtube channel.

I am still bearish until the H4 completes it's LOW, however now is the time I am waiting for my next setup.

The trade I took yesterday was successful, however I gave up 1500 pips in a retracement by not correctly waiting on my entry.

The video shows you how to avoid the same mistake and how to properly wait for the trade to come back to you.

#patience
Auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
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Anytime you are in doubt as to what trade to take next just ask yourself the following question:

Is the timeframe i am entering on in the right position for me to take the trade?

1. If I am buying...is it at a LOW (If not...leave it alone)
2. If I am selling...is it at a HIGH (if not...leave it alone)

Remember:

No setup = No trade

#patience

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Today started off with more volatility as the market was uncertain how to react to all the FED speeches that flooded the space.

One this was clear and that was that the current trend remains bearish on the H1 confirming our weekly analysis that the market will keep selling until the H4 registers it's required LOW.

Today the H2 gave a confirmation boost by finally completing it's LL just before market close.

There is not much to report other than that, now we wait for another retracement to see if the H4 will signal another LH or continue it's quest to go down and complete a direct LOW.

Right now we are in Asian session and as such we will expect as always, retracements and setups for the next major move of the trend.

I have posted a new video on youtube that is designed to help identify the correct way to trade an uptrend and a downtrend along with correct entry and exit points...so if you have not yet subscribed, go to "auber forex strategies."

As always, we continue to be patient and wait for our setups.

Remember to"

Evaluate and don't speculate
trade what you see
Don't rush the market

No setup = no trade

#patience
#aubersystem
#auberstrategy
#whywewait

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Remember this concept:

Buy Low and Sell High.

Also check out the current position of the DXY.

Remember it is inversely related to the NAS100

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Today if you are planning to sell...You must wait for your highs to be completed before entering.

If you just took a buy based on the fact that the H4 is at a HL (with an engulfing bullish), the H3 is at a LOW with a bullish that confirmed the break bearish candle, and a H1 H2 at LL's, be sure to watch for the HIGH/LH combos that are made during the buy.

Remember that this is still not the major move as the H4 still has not completed it's low...It's a temporary buy meant to setup the market at the 61% or 78% retracement level and possibly register a new HIGH on the H1/H2.

The market just made it's lowest point of the week, however the H1 has not registered a NEW HIGH so it is possible for that to happen.

In any event, if you plan to sell...you must wait for your highs

If you are buying you should have been in from the market LL.

As always...manage your risk.

Be patient

Don't be afraid to test your theories on a demo account before going live.

Trade what you see.

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
#patience

no setup = no trade

Evaluate...don't speculate

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For Buyers!

Every timeframe south of the 22 hour time frame is sitting at some sort of low.

What this means?

It would not be unreasonable to expect some kind of retracement as a setup for another sell towards completing the H4 LOW

Buy LOW
Sell HIGH

#auberstrategy
#patience
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Now that the Daily has registered a HL and the H4 an overbought HL we are coming very close to the end of the current bearish run.

There are just a few more loose ends to finish up before saying bye to the current bearish run.

The H4 needs to complete and register a new LOW which can be done in two ways:

1. A retracement to form a LH before breaking the previous HL to register a new LOW

2. Continuing directly to break the last HL to register a new LOW...if this happens...expect more momentum towards the last LOW of September 27.

One thing is for sure...the #auberstrategy works and the process called the moves accurately for this bearish run...

The H1 needs to make LH/LL to complete the H4 LOW...that is as consistent as I have been all week.

So I am still bearish until I get my signal from the H4 that the new low has been completed.

The price is still between the 61% and 78% H4 retracement level.

Remember that now that the market is coming to the lowest current point...Buys are going to happen with the correct setup.

Every single timeframe south of the Monthly has now registered some sort of low...

Now we just wait for the H4 to form new Low before the bulls take over.

Take care...

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#patience
#whywewait

no setup = no trade
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Expectations for today:

1. still following the current trend (H1 LH/LL until the H4 makes a LOW)

2. Waiting for my next H1 LH to sell to another LL

It doesn't get easier than that.

I have said this consistently since my first analysis posted earlier this week.

We finish the move strong and that is how we build consistent profitable trades.

#aubersystem
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#finishthemove
#patience
#waitonthelord

no setup = no trade

Don't speculate...Evaluate
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Review video is gonna be good this week...

I will show the breakdown of all 4 moves...

I will also show you the value of $3,500 after just the 4 trades this week... calculating pips using the #aubersystem #auberstrategy #aubermethod

Please note that all calculations are done using my broker with a 200:1 leveraged account and will be calculated using the #auberstrategy 25,000 divider method... risking 30% of my account each trade.

This is not recommended if you are not recommended if you are not comfortable with your strategy.

You do not want to miss it!

Check out my YouTube page at Auber Forex Strategies.

I will try and do the video today, if not I will post tomorrow night or Sunday morning EST.

This will be the exact execution of the analysis posted for this weeks moves.

Stay Tuned

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A weekly analysis video has been posted to my youtube at "Auber forex strategies."

For this week I will pick up where I left off as the H4 still has not completed the required LOW before I entertain any suggestive moves for a buy.

Last week did provide solid confirmation that my analysis was correct as the H1 (smaller timeframe to the H4) did only make LH/LL as the price continued to push down towards registering the low on the H4 timeframe.

What am I expecting this week?

Well for starters, I am still maintaining my bearish bias until the H4 Low is registered.

The daily has confirmed it's first LL on September 27 and is in the process now of completing another one. Once the H4 confirms it's LOW, further evaluation will be needed to see if that will also register another LL on the day. This would be two solid confirmations on the daily that price is intent of continuing the bearish momentum.

Even with this scenario happening and the market expected to sell, I am well aware of the fact that the market cannot and will not sell from a LOW position and so the price will need to retrace and set itself up for another round of selling which will created buy opportunities.

However, sticking to my strategy, I will not pre-empt the market and will trade what it has and will continue to give. I will not speculate on what has not happened, however I will continue to trade what is presently offered.

As of now, I am still bearish until the H4 makes and finishes it's low...When we get to that point, I will post a new update as to my tendency towards the market.

My strategy still stands, trade the highs to the lows and lows to the highs and on smaller timeframe, trade the LH/LL's or HL/HH's depending on the current trend.

Calculations for purposes of this analysis were done on vantage chart...other charts such as Oanda may have different price points.

God bless you all this week in your trades and remember:

Don't speculate...Evaluate

No setup = No Trade
#aubersystem
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#patience

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Just for clarity...

I am still bearish until the H4 registers a LOW...

That means if I am re-entering a sell, I have to take my entry on a LH/LOW combination on a lower timeframe (like the H1/M30)

Always verify your entries using your FIBs and other analytical tools.

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So you will notice that at 6:00pm when we had the market open, the price shot right up without hesitation. (see video on youtube channel (Auber forex strategies)

Confirming our analysis that the price will continue to make LH's LL on the H1 until the H4's LOW is completed.

I had done an update video on youtube "Auber Forex Strategies" to confirm where I am in this week's analysis and to see if our initial analysis was correct.

My position is still bearish for now as I wait for the next sell setup which will come in the form of a LH on the H1 to be sold to a LL on the H1 timeframe.

This week we continue to exercise #patience

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New review video out on youtube "Auber Forex Strategies."

Today we completed the first trend move on the H1 towards the upside on the Oanda H1 chart.

The price started on Monday at 5:00am at a LL then straight to High, then to a HL and eventually to a HH.

Now this timeframe is in trend and you will now see the HL's HH playing out until the H4 High is complete.

The vantage chart is a bit different because it made a segmented high:

LL to LH then to a HL and then ended on a LOW...it really doesn't matter as the market will still make higher Lows and HH even if they are Higher new lows.

The important thing is that the price is still bullish and will stay that way until the H4 completes its high.

We need to continue to exercise patience and wait for the right setups to take the buys from the lows to the highs.

Enjoy your night and see you at the next HL.

#patience
#whywewait
#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
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