Week ahead
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Nifty 50 Index has been stuck in a sideways range over the last two weeks. Index is oscillating between 16,800 and 17,500 and the same levels are likely to remain crucial for the upcoming week. As discussed in our previous weekly analysis (April 24, 2022), Nifty 50 Index formed a double bottom at 16800 levels (Important support for the week – Half bat pattern) and then traded in the range over the week with high volatility. Index opened with gaps on all sessions with trending moves in both directions during last 2 sessions. While the market stayed largely flat on a week-on-week basis, volatility increased. India VIX rose 5.79 per cent to 19.42.
Lately on Friday, US markets witnessed another technology led sell off. India 50 USD / SGX Nifty Index ended significantly lower, and we are likely to open with a gap down on Monday.
On the news front, the global markets are set to react to the US Fed Reserve decision slated to come in the middle of the coming week. Index heavyweights like Reliance, HDFC and Kotak Mahindra Bank will be coming up with their results during the week. Outcome of these events could possibly establish a trend (in either direction) which has been missing since last two weeks.
Can the Index rise past 17,500 and reclaim 18,000 again? (XABCD will be activated above 17500) Or will it break below 16,800 and see a steeper fall towards 16200 levels? (ABCD pattern will get activated on breakdown of 16800 levels). Join us for more real-time updates.