Nifty 50 Index

Nifty Analysis EOD – July 16, 2025 – Wednesday

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🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 16, 2025 – Wednesday 🔴

"Bounce Back with Caution: Bulls Show Up, But Still Not in Full Control"

Nifty started the day on a flat note, but the opening candle turned out to be the day’s high, and from there, it quickly lost 91 points, marking the day’s low at 25,121 within the first hour. The early pressure gave a bearish opening tone, but bulls gradually stepped in.

Around 11:45 AM, Nifty broke above the VWAP–Day Low range, crossed the CPR zone, and then pushed toward PDH. It did make one attempt to break PDH, but failed, resulting in a slow drift downward toward VWAP and CPR into the close. The day ended at 25,212.05, nearly at CPR — a zone of indecision.

📉 The structure shows sharp reversal from the lows, but also clear hesitation near resistance zones. The session was volatile, forming a typical pre-expiry pattern with mixed sentiment. Bulls must take charge tomorrow by crossing the 25,250–25,260 zone to regain strength.

🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels

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🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels

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🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown

Open: 25,196.60

High: 25,255.30

Low: 25,121.05

Close: 25,212.05

Change: +16.25 (+0.06%)

📊 Candle Structure Breakdown

Real Body: 15.45 points → small green body

Upper Wick: 43.25 points

Lower Wick: 75.55 points → significant downside recovery

🔍 Interpretation

Market opened flat, dropped quickly to test 25,120 zone

Strong buying emerged after initial fall

Buyers lifted the index above CPR, but failed to hold breakout above PDH

Candle closes with long lower wick → buyers defended dip, but lacked closing dominance

🕯 Candle TypeSpinning Top with Long Lower Wick — often a neutral to mildly bullish candle, suggesting buying interest at lower levels, but with uncertain momentum.

📌 Key Insight

Bulls clearly defended the 25,120–25,125 support zone

Momentum will only resume above 25,250–25,260, leading to targets around 25,300–25,315

Failure to hold 25,120 could reopen downside toward 25,000–25,050

🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart

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⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update

ATR: 180.99

IB Range: 91.20 → Medium IB

Market Structure: 🟡 Balanced

Trades Triggered

11:34 AM – Long Trade → ✅ Target Achieved, Trailed SL Hit (R:R 1:2.42)

📌 Support & Resistance Zones


Resistance Levels

  • 25,168

  • 25,180 ~ 25,212

  • 25,260

  • 25,295 ~ 25,315



Support Levels

  • 25,125

  • 25,080 ~ 25,060

  • 25,000 ~ 24,980

  • 24,965


💭 Final Thoughts

“Structure is forming — but conviction is lacking. Let expiry day bring clarity. Above 25,260 we fly, below 25,120 we fall.”

✏️ Disclaimer

This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.

Disclaimer

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