The Nifty Index has staged a notable recovery after a selloff that began on September 27, 2024, from a high of 21,748.65. We label this decline as wave (II), and the index has since turned upward. However, to confirm that the correction is over and avoid a potential double correction, the index must break above its previous peak of 26,277.35. The rally from the wave (II) low is expected to unfold as a five-wave impulse structure, a pattern commonly analyzed in Elliott Wave theory.
Starting from the wave (II) low, the first wave (wave 1) peaked at 22,697.2, followed by a pullback in wave 2 that bottomed at 22,353.25. The index then surged in wave 3, which itself subdivided into a smaller impulsive structure. Within wave 3, the first sub-wave ((i)) reached 23,372.75, followed by a dip in wave ((ii)) to 23,273.05. The third sub-wave ((iii)) climbed to 24,242.6, with a brief pullback in wave ((iv)) to 24,126.95. The final sub-wave ((v)) concluded at 24,359.3, completing wave 3. A subsequent wave 4 pullback found support at 23,847.85.
Currently, the index may achieve a few more highs, but the rally from the April 7, 2025, low appears mature and could soon face a three-wave correction. As long as the key support at 21,748.65 holds, any near-term pullbacks should find support in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, setting the stage for further upside.
Starting from the wave (II) low, the first wave (wave 1) peaked at 22,697.2, followed by a pullback in wave 2 that bottomed at 22,353.25. The index then surged in wave 3, which itself subdivided into a smaller impulsive structure. Within wave 3, the first sub-wave ((i)) reached 23,372.75, followed by a dip in wave ((ii)) to 23,273.05. The third sub-wave ((iii)) climbed to 24,242.6, with a brief pullback in wave ((iv)) to 24,126.95. The final sub-wave ((v)) concluded at 24,359.3, completing wave 3. A subsequent wave 4 pullback found support at 23,847.85.
Currently, the index may achieve a few more highs, but the rally from the April 7, 2025, low appears mature and could soon face a three-wave correction. As long as the key support at 21,748.65 holds, any near-term pullbacks should find support in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, setting the stage for further upside.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.