Nifty 50 Index

Nifty Analysis EOD – July 17, 2025 – Thursday

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🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 17, 2025 – Thursday 🔴

📉 Sellers Grip Expiry Day — Big Move Loading?

Nifty started again with an OH (Open = High) formation and slipped down 94 points before 10:30 AM, marking the day’s low at 25,144. During this fall, it broke the support zone of 25,212 ~ 25,180. Although a retracement followed, it couldn’t sustain above the mean and eventually broke below the previous day’s low (PDL), closing at 25,111.45.

The weekly expiry was wild and volatile — especially from 12:30 to 2:30 PM. Interestingly, if we consider the total range of the last three sessions, it is just 166 points — well below average. This suggests a phase of consolidation. A significant move may emerge once Nifty decisively breaks the broader zone of 25,000 to 25,255.

🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels


snapshot

🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels


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📊 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,230.75

High: 25,238.35

Low: 25,101.00

Close: 25,111.45

Change: −100.60 (−0.40%)

Candle structure breakdown:

Real body:
Red candle (Close < Open): 25,230.75 − 25,111.45 = 119.30 points → Decent-sized bearish body

Upper wick:
25,238.35 − 25,230.75 = 7.60 points → Very small

Lower wick:
25,111.45 − 25,101.00 = 10.45 points → Small

Interpretation:
Nifty opened slightly lower, made a weak attempt upward, then saw consistent selling throughout the day, closing near the session’s low. The negligible wicks indicate that sellers were in full control, and buyers had little room to fight back.

Candle Type:
A strong bearish candle (almost Marubozu) with very small wicks → Clear dominance by sellers.

Key Insight:
The test of the 25,100 zone again shows weakening bullish strength.
If the next session breaks below 25,100, the fall may extend toward 25,000–25,050.
For bulls to regain short-term momentum, a close above 25,200–25,220 is necessary.

🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart


snapshot

⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 176.62

IB Range: 60.85 → Medium IB

Market Structure: Balanced

Trades Triggered:

🕒 10:53 AM – Long Trade → Trailed SL Hit Profit (R:R = 1:0.42)

🧭 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
The market is coiling within a narrow range across multiple sessions, hinting at a potential breakout move.
📌 Watch Zone: 25,000 to 25,255
🔻 A break below 25,000 may open 24,950–24,900
🔺 A close above 25,260 could drive price toward 25,350+

Bias remains neutral-to-bearish unless bulls reclaim 25,220 decisively.

🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels

25,168

25,180 ~ 25,212

25,260

25,295 ~ 25,315

Support Levels

25,125

25,080 ~ 25,060

25,000 ~ 24,980

24,965

🧠 Final Thoughts
"Structure is key. When levels work, respect them. When they break, adapt."
Three sessions of compression hint at expansion soon — stay alert and trade level-to-level with discipline.

✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.

Disclaimer

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