Nasdaq 100 E-mini-Futures - D1 - MAJOR DOUBLE TOP IN PROGRESS !
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M1 : Still in its ongoing uptrend channel. May closing level will give clues for June. W1 : Under the influence of a major double top formation trigger level being @ 12'207 Last week price action triggered a low of 12'915 which hold Kijun-sen level ! Nice recovery triggered by this rejection and as a result W1 closing level is above the cluster of MBB and TS.. but still below the ongoing downtrend price action which took place from the peak @ 14'071 D1 : Very thin clouds support area hold and triggered this nice recovery seen over the last 2 sessions with a closing yesterday @ 13387, which is also, roughly the level of TS @ 13367. Also below the ongoing downtrend line resistance. H4 : In a recovery mode, 50 % Fib ret @ 13'466 (KS on D1) filled, As already seen in the past the 13390-13400 is an important area as it has been a former support which now became a resistance to break ! A successful breakout of this resistance area would put the focus on the current downtrend line resistance, currently @ 13'440 ahead of 13'473 61.8% Fib ret, both levels coinciding with the H4 clouds resistance area. H1 : Breakout of the clouds triggered an upside acceleration from 13'170 to 13'427 Above KS, MBB and TS M30 : Same as H1 and TS has already been tested twice = Warning of a potential trend reversal ! M15 : Same than H1 and M30, but currently below TS = second warning M5 : Currently in the middle of a sideways/slightly downtrend channel and caught between KS and MBB. Watch the clouds support area as a good indicator; a failure to hold above the clouds would give additional warning of a potential trend reversal CONCLUSION : ON A BROAD BEAR TREND. IN ORDER TO NEUTRALISE THE ONGOING DOWNSIDE RISK WE NEED TO SEE A SUSTAINABLE RECOVERY ABOVE 13'700 ON A DAILY BASIS AND ONLY THIS WOULD FORCE TO A REASSESSMENT OF THE EXPECTED BEARISH SCENARIO CALLING FOR LOWER LEVELS. Ironman8848
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