Will Novavax NVAX go higher? SHORT
Updated
NVAX popped today for a price jump of more than 20%. Canada agreed to pay out on a contract
for COVID vaccines it now does not want in the amount of 350M. This is hardly enough to
the fundamentals of the company overall. So the question arises, have traders and / or
investors overreacted to a one time bonus which is essentially revenue without overhead and
expense. My opinion is that this is an overreaction and that the price will drop after the
pop hits a high. Buying long right now is essentially the risk of buying a high that will not
go higher. On the Chris Moody dual RSI indicator, the longer one hour TM in black is over
75 while the shorter 5 minute TM in blue has peaked and dropped from 95 to 60. This is
in essence bearish divergence. The other indicator, the mass index, shows the value
arriving at the reversal zone where a drop to below 26.5 will be the trigger.
Overall, for both fundamental and technical reasons, I will enter a short trade on NVAX
expecting a correction / pullback from the pop the stock got after a one-time bonus of
a payout for not producing unneeded vaccines.
for COVID vaccines it now does not want in the amount of 350M. This is hardly enough to
the fundamentals of the company overall. So the question arises, have traders and / or
investors overreacted to a one time bonus which is essentially revenue without overhead and
expense. My opinion is that this is an overreaction and that the price will drop after the
pop hits a high. Buying long right now is essentially the risk of buying a high that will not
go higher. On the Chris Moody dual RSI indicator, the longer one hour TM in black is over
75 while the shorter 5 minute TM in blue has peaked and dropped from 95 to 60. This is
in essence bearish divergence. The other indicator, the mass index, shows the value
arriving at the reversal zone where a drop to below 26.5 will be the trigger.
Overall, for both fundamental and technical reasons, I will enter a short trade on NVAX
expecting a correction / pullback from the pop the stock got after a one-time bonus of
a payout for not producing unneeded vaccines.
Note
NVAX News related to this idea : cnbc.com/2023/07/10/novavax-stock-jumps-after-canada-agrees-to-pay-for-unused-covid-shots.html
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