NVIDIA
Short

NVDA: Cooldown of the AI hype?

370
On it's all-time high, NVDA faces a major correction in a SHS-formation.

While chart patterns indicate an early turn after the everlasting boom of the paper, the split indicates that NVDA has seen its saturation among big capital funds and portfolios, and tries to appeal to small-cap buyers with a more affordable price - a clear sign that the chip designer itself has foreseen its peak on the stock market.

The next earnings report not in sight until August, the stock price will rebound to its average. But even with good earnings, the paper cannot appeal any more to major capital funds with diversification as part of risk management than it already has, so the buyers who chip in on the next E&R will be either small cap participants or gamblers. Further peaks of NVDA will be used by larger funds to hedge their risk, resulting in more immediate and dynamic corrections.

All of this resolutes that the dynamic of NVIDIAs price development came to an end. New heights will be harder to achieve, unseen lows ever since the surge will be more likely.

A general cooldown of AI is not expected as the industry is still in development. Most products developed with LLM AI as a base platform are assistance systems. Regular users of AI notice hallucinations and erroneous behavior on the AI side, proving the technology is not inerrant and will or should not replace or substitute human control.

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