2/20/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: 
NXT
Loaded again.
- this is the sort of hunter brandon style crack tape that requires you to find a. names that are crushing it, b. not known or appreciated and c. where you have an edge. all three.
- i've been doing some deeper work on the name and to return w/ more deets in due time. but let me make abundantly clear how asleep at the wheel the street is on this thing.
- they've done $1 bn in bookings a quarter for 8 quarters. revenue has never punched a $1 bn level. last quarter it was a massive beat at sub $700 mm.
- at some pt sooner than later you'll see the $1 bn quarter. the $3 ish bn in revenue this year... will look more like $4 bn. and the incremental 200 mm in FCF will mean this thing is pushing 700+ mm in FCF, buying back stock (turns that on in 2H) and you put a 5% discount rate on that growth (probably conservative) and this name is $100.
- does it go to $30, $35... test $40 again? idk. idc.
- i'm risk managed. packing cash. just can't find a better home for it than this thing.
- and i'm not waiting around to get too cute.
- back to 25% of my book leveraged 2-1.
lfg.
send it lower and i grow my size.
enjoy
V
NXTLoaded again.
- this is the sort of hunter brandon style crack tape that requires you to find a. names that are crushing it, b. not known or appreciated and c. where you have an edge. all three.
- i've been doing some deeper work on the name and to return w/ more deets in due time. but let me make abundantly clear how asleep at the wheel the street is on this thing.
- they've done $1 bn in bookings a quarter for 8 quarters. revenue has never punched a $1 bn level. last quarter it was a massive beat at sub $700 mm.
- at some pt sooner than later you'll see the $1 bn quarter. the $3 ish bn in revenue this year... will look more like $4 bn. and the incremental 200 mm in FCF will mean this thing is pushing 700+ mm in FCF, buying back stock (turns that on in 2H) and you put a 5% discount rate on that growth (probably conservative) and this name is $100.
- does it go to $30, $35... test $40 again? idk. idc.
- i'm risk managed. packing cash. just can't find a better home for it than this thing.
- and i'm not waiting around to get too cute.
- back to 25% of my book leveraged 2-1.
lfg.
send it lower and i grow my size.
enjoy
V
Trade active
you see all the jan 2027 volume today? that's me. same with the feb, apr and may expires this year.have you noticed how street estimates haven't gone up in 1.5 years on this?
ever think about what happens when the coming FY #s are above the FY # estimates in FY27?
send it way lower. send it back below $40.
i've done the work, so i have the conviction to step in and make the market here.
i'm not selling anything below 60 at this point, which is fair value
my best guess is we see HSD this year, 80-100... and we just compound from there.
nfa. glta. lfg.
enjoy
V
Note
i'm literally selling down some of my 
TSM, 
OBTC, 
EVVTY, $UBER... to make room for moar.*this is why i spent last weekend doing the work*
because if/when i wanted to be ADDING not wigging out.
i'm buying your bags.
and i'll keep buying them.
i've been here before. many many times. i know what i have w/ this stock. and i'll flinch last.
watch me.
i'm at >100% position here ;)
V deez nuts
Note
you know the drill.
ARRY is like 
ETHUSDT to NXT's 
BTCUSDT
RUN is the donut. we've written about that.both of these shtcoins reported y day and missed. big surprise. most of solar is pretty uninvestable.
nxt is taking all the share. but honestly it remains a tide go out. nobody cares about solar. so risk manage approps. but don't over think it.
i've sold down a lot of small positions, gotten deeper ITM on some of my core, but smaller longs (
NVDA, TSM, 
UBER) even sold a bit of OBTC off the top to grow NXT size today.can't find anything i like more than this. i'm pretty large. just got larger.
V
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.