NZD/JPY Buy Setup: Potential Reversal Near Key Support

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NZDJPY - Buy Setup

Technical: The overall trend remains bearish, but the price has stalled just below the major 83.06 support level, last seen in August 2024. This could attract buying interest. On the daily chart, a bullish reversal formed on March 4, 2025, suggesting a potential short-term bottom.

Fundamental: The latest Commitment of Traders Report shows increasing New Zealand Dollar long interest, while Japanese Yen interest is declining. This indicates that "Smart Money" may be accumulating NZD.

Seasonal: Historically, between March 7 – April 13, NZD/JPY has performed well, producing positive returns 61.1% of the time, with an average gain of 1.47% over the past 36 years.

Setup:
  • Entry: 84.43 – 83.97
  • Stop Loss: 82.83 (below the 2024 low at 83.06)
  • Target: 87.80 (50% retracement)



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