🧠 Palantir Bull Thesis: $136–$150 Short-Term Target (Post-Earnings)
Price Target Range:
Base Target: $136
Stretch Target: $150 (if momentum breakout + macro align)
Catalyst 1: AI/Defense Earnings Blowout
Expected EPS: $0.13 → if actual EPS surprises (e.g., $0.15+), it signals significant operating leverage from AI/Foundry.
Recent Government Deals: NATO, U.S. military, and foreign defense contracts bolster revenue visibility.
Commercial Growth Spike: Analysts expect over 60% YoY growth in commercial sector revenue — if confirmed, valuation multiple expansion becomes justified.
Catalyst 2:
Cup & Handle breakout formed over the last 6 weeks
Break above $124 (previous high) triggers bullish continuation
RSI is resetting from mid-60s — giving room for a momentum ignition
Golden cross: 50EMA crossing above 200EMA last week
📊 If earnings gap the stock above $128, short-covering + AI momentum chase can push a rapid breakout to $136–$150.
Catalyst 3: Options Flow + IV Crush Setup
Implied Volatility > 95% pre-earnings → massive call open interest buildup at $130–$150
Call/Put ratio above 2.3 (bullish skew)
If IV collapses post-earnings and the move is directional, market makers will need to hedge deep OTM calls → gamma squeeze potential
Catalyst 4: Sentiment + Social/Institutional Attention
Palantir trending on Reddit, Twitter, and TikTok
Citadel and BlackRock increased positions in Q1
High institutional ownership (~40%) with increasing fund inflows into AI/Defense names
Quantum Forecast & AI Narrative Momentum
AI stocks (NVDA, SMCI) have led market-wide rallies
Palantir being seen as the “AI software layer for government + enterprise”
CEO Alex Karp has already hinted at "transformational government contracts" and new AI modules — this creates anticipation buying even before guidance is raised
Risk-Reward Snapshot
Case Price Range Probability
Base Bull Case $136 55%
Stretch Case (Gamma Squeeze + Beat + Upgraded Guidance) $150+ 30%
Neutral Post-Earnings Drift $118–124 15%
Risk Factors:
Market-wide risk-off event (Fed, macro surprise)
AI rotation cools off
EPS beats but guidance disappoints
IV crush limits upside unless price gaps violently
If Palantir beats EPS by >15%, raises guidance, and gaps over $128 post-earnings, a momentum/gamma squeeze could push it toward $136–$150, fueled by AI mania, defense exposure, and short positioning.
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as always safe Trades
Price Target Range:
Base Target: $136
Stretch Target: $150 (if momentum breakout + macro align)
Catalyst 1: AI/Defense Earnings Blowout
Expected EPS: $0.13 → if actual EPS surprises (e.g., $0.15+), it signals significant operating leverage from AI/Foundry.
Recent Government Deals: NATO, U.S. military, and foreign defense contracts bolster revenue visibility.
Commercial Growth Spike: Analysts expect over 60% YoY growth in commercial sector revenue — if confirmed, valuation multiple expansion becomes justified.
Catalyst 2:
Cup & Handle breakout formed over the last 6 weeks
Break above $124 (previous high) triggers bullish continuation
RSI is resetting from mid-60s — giving room for a momentum ignition
Golden cross: 50EMA crossing above 200EMA last week
📊 If earnings gap the stock above $128, short-covering + AI momentum chase can push a rapid breakout to $136–$150.
Catalyst 3: Options Flow + IV Crush Setup
Implied Volatility > 95% pre-earnings → massive call open interest buildup at $130–$150
Call/Put ratio above 2.3 (bullish skew)
If IV collapses post-earnings and the move is directional, market makers will need to hedge deep OTM calls → gamma squeeze potential
Catalyst 4: Sentiment + Social/Institutional Attention
Palantir trending on Reddit, Twitter, and TikTok
Citadel and BlackRock increased positions in Q1
High institutional ownership (~40%) with increasing fund inflows into AI/Defense names
Quantum Forecast & AI Narrative Momentum
AI stocks (NVDA, SMCI) have led market-wide rallies
Palantir being seen as the “AI software layer for government + enterprise”
CEO Alex Karp has already hinted at "transformational government contracts" and new AI modules — this creates anticipation buying even before guidance is raised
Risk-Reward Snapshot
Case Price Range Probability
Base Bull Case $136 55%
Stretch Case (Gamma Squeeze + Beat + Upgraded Guidance) $150+ 30%
Neutral Post-Earnings Drift $118–124 15%
Risk Factors:
Market-wide risk-off event (Fed, macro surprise)
AI rotation cools off
EPS beats but guidance disappoints
IV crush limits upside unless price gaps violently
If Palantir beats EPS by >15%, raises guidance, and gaps over $128 post-earnings, a momentum/gamma squeeze could push it toward $136–$150, fueled by AI mania, defense exposure, and short positioning.
Want a matching chart or visual post for this thesis?
as always safe Trades
Trade active
Pltr was crushed after-hours but Im Still Long 2-3 weeks out will be adding market open!!! My AlphaPulse Bot Even Confirmed as well hear are the details📈 AlphaPulse Multi-Timeframe Forecast:
PLTR📍 Current Price: $123.77
🔍 Active Patterns: True S/R Zone, Overbought Channel Position
🌐 Market Structure:
• Primary Trend: Bullish Bias
• Trading Bias: Bullish (61.3% confidence)
• Ideal Timeframe: weekly (Strength: 6)
🎯 Bullish Price Targets:
• Conservative: $133.96 (+8.23%)
• Primary Target: $144.15 (+16.47%)
• Aggressive: $154.34 (+24.70%)
• Expected Duration: 2-4 weeks
📊 Technical Position:
• Weekly: Uptrend
• Daily: Uptrend
• Intraday: Neutral
🔑 Key Levels:
📈 Current Market Action:
• Weekly: Strong Upward Movement (+53.4%)
• Daily: Strong Upward Movement (+59.0%)
• 5min: Strong Upward Movement (+59.0%)
🧠 Historical Pattern Match:
• Similar to pattern from 2025-05-05
• Matching patterns: True S/R Zone
⚠️ Signal strength: 61.3% - 1 historical patterns analyzed
GoodLUck And Safe Trades Long LETS GOOOOO!
Note
📈 AlphaPulse Multi-Timeframe Forecast: PLTR📍 Current Price: $109.20
🔍 Active Patterns: Fair Value Gap, True S/R Zone, ADX+ATR Fusion
🌐 Market Structure:
• Primary Trend: Bullish Bias
• Trading Bias: Bullish (44.3% confidence)
• Ideal Timeframe: daily (Strength: 4)
🎯 Bullish Price Targets:
• Conservative: $120.34 (+10.20%)
• Primary Target: $131.48 (+20.41%)
• Aggressive: $142.62 (+30.61%)
• Expected Duration: 5-10 days
📊 Technical Position:
• Weekly: Uptrend
• Daily: Uptrend
• Intraday: Neutral
🔑 Key Levels:
• Strong Support: $89.31
• Strong Resistance: $118.66
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:0.5
📈 Current Market Action:
• Weekly: Strong Upward Movement (+41.5%)
• Daily: Strong Upward Movement (+18.7%)
• 5min: Strong Upward Movement (+18.7%)
⚠️ Signal strength: 44.3% - 1 historical patterns analyzed
Note
Pltr is Just Almost Above the Liquidity Grab Zone at $114.... ITs ready to go to the moodNote
YOLONOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
PLTR | CALL | Strike: 119.0 | Exp: 2025-05-16
Cost: $4.6
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FREE Patreon Access
AlphaPulse Luxury Suite Indicators
Quantum Day & Swing Trading Assistant Bots
Coaching, Breakouts
Live Trading Signals, Options, Live Charts
Chart Analytics,
Stock & Crypto Chat
patreon.com/JoeWtrades/redeem/BFC08
AlphaPulse Luxury Suite Indicators
Quantum Day & Swing Trading Assistant Bots
Coaching, Breakouts
Live Trading Signals, Options, Live Charts
Chart Analytics,
Stock & Crypto Chat
patreon.com/JoeWtrades/redeem/BFC08
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.