russian rates bonds and stocks
Hi all! I feel the approach of good times in Russia!!💓
On the chart - at the top in black is the rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, next to it in blue - the yield rates on short-term bonds, at the bottom - the RTS.
There will be a meeting of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation soon and everyone will be given the message that “the Central Bank should raise the rate by 2%.”
Short debt is already trading at 18%+.
How to practically apply this? The phase of raising rates always ends for stocks with a vigorous decline, a bang. The shares follow the RGBI index, so clients do not have any Russian shares.
But! The main thing will begin after the Central Bank begins to reduce the rate - the stock market in currency terms can grow by 100..300% in €£$
It would be better for conservative comrades at this moment of lowering rates to withdraw money from deposits and invest in long bonds, both corporate and government.
While we are in no hurry to switch to rubles and Russian shares, we need to wait
- corrections
- a real decrease in profitability on the Russian market (see two-year plans, ticker RU02Y)
- changing the Central Bank’s narrative to lower rates.
On the chart - at the top in black is the rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, next to it in blue - the yield rates on short-term bonds, at the bottom - the RTS.
There will be a meeting of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation soon and everyone will be given the message that “the Central Bank should raise the rate by 2%.”
Short debt is already trading at 18%+.
How to practically apply this? The phase of raising rates always ends for stocks with a vigorous decline, a bang. The shares follow the RGBI index, so clients do not have any Russian shares.
But! The main thing will begin after the Central Bank begins to reduce the rate - the stock market in currency terms can grow by 100..300% in €£$
It would be better for conservative comrades at this moment of lowering rates to withdraw money from deposits and invest in long bonds, both corporate and government.
While we are in no hurry to switch to rubles and Russian shares, we need to wait
- corrections
- a real decrease in profitability on the Russian market (see two-year plans, ticker RU02Y)
- changing the Central Bank’s narrative to lower rates.
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