Long Term Silver Stacking Zone $20 to $15
These line up with probable liquidity hunting zones on the monthly chart to fill in low volume notches on the volume profile and using fork extensions to estimate timing.
The bottom end of the zone is less likely around $15 because the point of control is at $16.5 and would probably tend to soak up price tests through it. But the trade idea is still valid even if the POC doesn't provide support.
The volume profile has a double distribution meaning disagreement among traders on this time frame. An exit point might be at $23 which is the next developing POC but if I stack some silver below $20 I will probably hold it for something more like $40 since silver has a tendency to produce short squeezes and shoot to the moon for a short burst and then collapse.
Also holding physical silver (probably 10 oz bars) is a nice way to get a warm and fuzzy feeling of financial security so having a bit on hand is not a bad idea.
The bottom end of the zone is less likely around $15 because the point of control is at $16.5 and would probably tend to soak up price tests through it. But the trade idea is still valid even if the POC doesn't provide support.
The volume profile has a double distribution meaning disagreement among traders on this time frame. An exit point might be at $23 which is the next developing POC but if I stack some silver below $20 I will probably hold it for something more like $40 since silver has a tendency to produce short squeezes and shoot to the moon for a short burst and then collapse.
Also holding physical silver (probably 10 oz bars) is a nice way to get a warm and fuzzy feeling of financial security so having a bit on hand is not a bad idea.
Comment
I chatted with gpt on macros that usually signal a dump in the silver price and how you know when the dump is maybe over. It gave this checklist:
[Pattern]
Financial Signal
1 Consolidation Phase
2 Dump Start
3 Dump End
1. Central Bank Announcements
- 1.1. Ongoing/stable QE (=)
- 1.2. Ending/reducing QE (-)
- 1.3. New rounds of QE/stimulus (+)
2. Interest Rate Changes
- 2.1. Stable rates (=)
- 2.2. Increase in rates (+)
- 2.3. Cuts in rates (-)
3. Economic Indicators
- 3.1. Stable/mixed signals (=)
- 3.2. Strong positive indicators (+)
- 3.3. Weakening indicators (-)
4. Inflation Data
- 4.1. Stable/low inflation rates (=)
- 4.2. Lower-than-expected inflation rates (-)
- 4.3. Rising inflation rates (+)
5. Currency Strength
- 5.1. Stable currency rates (=)
- 5.2. Strengthening of the US dollar (+)
- 5.3. Weakening of the dollar (-)
6. Bond Yields
- 6.1. Stable yields (=)
- 6.2. Rising yields (+)
- 6.3. Falling yields (-)
7. Gold Prices
- 7.1. Stable trends as silver (=)
- 7.2. Gold prices falling (-)
- 7.3. Recovery in gold prices (+)
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