Is SPY behaving identically to what happened in November 1973?

Updated
Ok hear me out, I believe that today's price action in the year 2023 is eerily similar to what has happened in November 1973. I am not saying that is what will happen today but I can't shake the feeling that this is what will likely happen.
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Today's price action in the year 2023

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After the triangle broke in 1973 a massive 40% drop ensued.

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The same 40% drop today would take us to the monthly 200sma

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1973Chart PatternscrashTechnical IndicatorsofTrend Analysis

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