Yesterday I noted that we ended with a hanging man candle under the daily 18ma. Under the daily 18ma, the bias is down and with a hanging man candle it may be a hint of a reversal. The paths I'm thinking are possible are shown. I personally still think we will end the week under 3700 and the weekly candle will look like a false breakout, but I will not short until I see a break below yesterday's lows and a retest of the channel. The Market was aware of the channel yesterday so it will surely be aware if we break below it today or tomorrow. A higher high today should be treated with suspicion as it may complete the 3 wave move up. Good luck!
Note
if we get under the channel today, I expect a number of stops to get hit, however they likely will try to retake the channel. For adding shorts, that retest of the channel is a more ideal entry than here. Still could go higher today, but this reversal looks convincing as of now. Daily close will be important. Note
neither side is winning and it may be like this into EOD, Transports are showing relative strength and some think of DJT as a leading indicator. It's possible the market does nothing much until after 830am numbers tomorrow morning.Note
3700 needs to break for the selling to intensifyNote
side note - TLRY earnings tomorrow and it's suddenly up 13 percent. Not sure what to make of itNote
I guess this news just hit cnn.com/2022/10/06/politics/marijuana-decriminalization-white-house-joe-biden/index.htmlRelated publications
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.