S&P500 future - After previous analysis, the 3850 price did not held and we reached our downtargets at 3800 - 3778 - 3737 - 3706 and for now 3694.
Bear scenario:
It is important for bulls that the price zone at 3680 and 3695 not undercut. Should this price zone be undercut, a furhter correction could push the bulls back into our price zone of 3650 - 3600 - 3590 - 3550.
Bull scenario:
The next upside target is at 3706 - 3737 and then 3800. Upside and downside targets see chart.
Trend analysis assume that an initial correction will begin in week 4 and week 5. The market could then come under pressure.
A bear market is when a market typically fall 20% or more from recent highs. The market has been overbought and needs to cool off.
Notice how the market moves we see short and sharp corrections this is typical in the late stage of rallies - usually new highs will follow.
If we break resistance it become support If we break support it become resistance. Buy and Sell confirmation: Bull market don’t buy if the RSI is overbought always wait for pullback. Bear market only sell when the RSI is overbought or wait for a bounce.
Keep it simple and trade with the trend – you will never lose and live 10 years longer!