Hi there. These are my thoughts on how the markets will play out this week. In my opinion this is another bear market rally that is targeting trailing stops between 3950~4000. We are below the 200ma on the 2D and below the cloud. Taking this into consideration and the fact that FOMC is Wednesday and will most likely raise rates another 75bps I can see the following scenario play out. Monday and Tuesday we climb slowly higher with a sharp thrust upwards and immediate rejection from the shorts stop loss area. Wednesday the markets continue their downtrend setting in stone that we are in a bear market. Drawing a fib retracement on the weekly from the most recent leg down puts the 1.618 target at 2972. If in fact we get there, this will take several weeks to hit.
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