QQQ price action breaks through trend line. SPY does not

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During the current upward swing of the market, i believe QQQ will break back through its 2 year trend line, indicating a bullish market, and a faster momentum upwards. But, because the SPY price action has fallen further than QQQ, I believe the momentum will subside before it is able to break the trend line, therefore when the price action retests the trend line it will fail indicating a bearish market.. This will cause SPY and then QQQ to fall. and the entire market to continue its downward swing... (apologies for my poor drawing skills)

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