TLRY (cannabis stock) BUY signals! (TLRY follows Bitcoin 2014)
This is not a financial advice and I put it here only for my own record.
I have been watching cannabis stock for a while and the most exciting one is TLRY. It seems the bottom is already in (which I cannot confirm yet) or very close to the bottom. The market value is already more than 85% below its all time high ($300 to ~35$). Both RSI and MACD show divergence situation (market is going down but RSI and MACD going up) which is a bullish sign. I am not saying the bull market has started but if we see more confirmations in the near future, we can say the bottom is in. IMO, $35-$40 is already a great range (85-90% below ATH) for buying in. I already had some purchases around $35-$38 and keep accumulating around every bottom.
My near term prediction is: the price will go up to test 50% - 61.8% Fibonacci levels (around $44-$47), then we go back down to retest $35 or go below that level. I think there is a chance to go below $35 but it is unlikely to go below $28-$30. Even if you buy at the current price ($38.8) you will not lose a lot if the price goes down temporarily. My only concern is the low volume. Typically, we should see high volumes around true bottom, which I do not see that for TLRY now. So, be very cautious and set your stop-losses wisely and always follow the market as it goes on.
Also, I found a similarity between the current TLRY pattern and that of Bitcoin around 1 Nov 2014. If that comes true, we may see another large drop (final capitulation) within months along with higher volumes. Since we are already 85-90% below the ATH, to have another large sell-off we might need to go up a little bit for a while then have a large drop. Again, I do not think we go below 28$.
If you like please share with your friends and leave comments to improve my prediction and analysis.
Thanks,
I have been watching cannabis stock for a while and the most exciting one is TLRY. It seems the bottom is already in (which I cannot confirm yet) or very close to the bottom. The market value is already more than 85% below its all time high ($300 to ~35$). Both RSI and MACD show divergence situation (market is going down but RSI and MACD going up) which is a bullish sign. I am not saying the bull market has started but if we see more confirmations in the near future, we can say the bottom is in. IMO, $35-$40 is already a great range (85-90% below ATH) for buying in. I already had some purchases around $35-$38 and keep accumulating around every bottom.
My near term prediction is: the price will go up to test 50% - 61.8% Fibonacci levels (around $44-$47), then we go back down to retest $35 or go below that level. I think there is a chance to go below $35 but it is unlikely to go below $28-$30. Even if you buy at the current price ($38.8) you will not lose a lot if the price goes down temporarily. My only concern is the low volume. Typically, we should see high volumes around true bottom, which I do not see that for TLRY now. So, be very cautious and set your stop-losses wisely and always follow the market as it goes on.
Also, I found a similarity between the current TLRY pattern and that of Bitcoin around 1 Nov 2014. If that comes true, we may see another large drop (final capitulation) within months along with higher volumes. Since we are already 85-90% below the ATH, to have another large sell-off we might need to go up a little bit for a while then have a large drop. Again, I do not think we go below 28$.
If you like please share with your friends and leave comments to improve my prediction and analysis.
Thanks,
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.