Toncoin is one of the most popular cryptocurrencies supported by the Telegram community. It has a circulating supply about 2.5 Billions out of 5.1 Billion which is huge. In June 2022, TON traded around $0.735, surged to $2.8, and then settled back to approximately $0.99. In February 2024, TON was listed on Binance as a futures trading asset at around $2.8, before experiencing a significant spike to $8.3. It subsequently broke the $4.8 level twice, in April 2024 and again in 5 August 2024.
A few days ago, Pavel Durov, the founder and CEO of Telegram, was arrested in France for failing to cooperate with investigations into cyber and financial crimes on the messaging app. This news caused Toncoin to plummet from $6.88 to $5, along with Notcoin and DOGS (a memecoin recently listed on Binance).
What’s next for Toncoin? We have two scenarios. In the first, if Durov is released soon, the coin could experience a dramatic surge above $7, potentially reclaiming its spot in the top 10 on CoinMarketCap. In the second scenario, if Durov's release is delayed, major investors might begin selling off their holdings, causing the market cap to drop significantly. This could also lead to increased regulatory scrutiny for Toncoin and related tokens like Notcoin and DOGS. Getting listed on major crypto exchanges, including Binance, may become more challenging, especially as Binance aligns with EU and US regulations.
Durov is released = Above $7
Durov's release is delayed = Cross down $4.8 then $3.8
*** This is not a financial advice, do you own research before investing!
Note
Bitcoin is down to below 60k level and Toncoin is holding above $5.2. There's a resistance wall at $5.6.
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TON broke the $4.5 level in the first week of September 2024, then rose back to $6 by September 23, 2024. Bitcoin's price movements had a significant impact on the overall crypto market above 65K, drawing the attention of many investors towards BTC over altcoins. As a result, TON dropped below the $5.5 level, awaiting Bitcoin's stabilization to recover and climb above $6.5 again.
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