The short answer is... Now, this year into early next year.
Although I would expect a lot of similarities this market cycle, I would also expect some differences.
So let's start with the yellow diagonal line with the up trend. This line was originally drawn through the BTC price action. Look at how it actually works perfectly with the TOTAL3, PERFECT!! So, according this chart the alt cycle big moves won't come until 2024 around the September time frame.
If we pay attention we will notice a separation From the the BTC market cap to the TOATL3 market cap that opens up during the bear market. We can also see it also mimics the bitcoin market cap until it finally closes the gap in the final stage. Solid yellow line is the BTC market cap & the candles are the TOTAL3.
The bars between moves
88 BARS is from top to top
57 BARS is from top to the start of the final wave (double bottom)
36 Bars is from when it breaks the up trend to
Not market on chart.
62 bars from the breakdown of the trend line to breakthrough back above it would but it in early February of 2025, pretty much right on schedule.
This chart is on the 2 time frame so each bar equals 2 weeks..
The indicators below are TDI and RCI 3LINES.
Here is where some of the differences might come in to play.
we'll look at the TDI first. I want you to keep in mind that I have zoomed in this indicator to show the moves more clearly. In 2019 the RED line (fast moving line) made a fairly big move up and broke through the top of the channel. It then dropped below the middle line (Yellow) and went sideways until it's next move again piercing the top of the channel although not as high into the inevitable
COVID Crash. Comparing to this bear market the TOTAL3 has made a move off the assumed bottom but it wasn't as strong as the move in 2019 as shown by RED line. Also this time the RED line seems to have found support on top of the Yellow line showing more strength in the correction phase. If it does n=hold I would expect the next move to be higher than the initial one which would be different from the last bear market. I also think this will continue all the way up.
RCI 3LINES RED FAST / BLUE 2ND FASTEST / GREEN SLOW
The all important Blue line has crossed up on the green line. Once the red line turns back up, the move will follow.
All in all it is good time to start to accumulating your altcoins of choice. Keep in mind although they do move together for the most part, they all have they own cycles as well.
Thank for looking. Let me know what you think down below.
WeAreSat0shi