TOTAL3 which measures the Crypto Total Market Cap excluding Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Ethereum (ETHUSD), is essentially a metric of the altcoin market. It's movement in relation to previous Cycle is indicative of what we call an 'Altseason', when this market segment rises disproportionally to the rest.
The price tested the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) last week for the 1st time since May 2022 but failed to break it and closed the week below it. With the rejection also being on the (dashed) top of the Ascending Triangle (bottom formation pattern), it appears that the market is replicating the sequence of January 20 2020. Even the 1W ROC patterns are identical.
As a result, a candle closing above the top of the Ascending Triangle, will be a buy signal for us, targeting initially the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 570B (as it did in July 27 2020 and wouldn't have done earlier if it weren't for the COVID crash). Then the 0.618 Fib should be targeted, which should give the final +/- 1 month consolidation before new All Time Highs.
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