Tesla
Short

TSLA - look at it without feelings: this is not a buy

390
Hi everyone,

Looking at TESLA, so many people love the company and what they have achieved (me including), but IMO this is not 10 years ago to buy it.

Fundamentally:
- Already at an unstainable price, with 300+ PE ratio! -> Do you think they will sell 20X cars compared to current delivery in the next 10-15 or even years? Or sell them at a much higher price? I don't think so. Great business, but it's price is ways detached from reality. imo..

Technically:
- Megaphone pattern, currently ranging between 900 & 1200.
- Long-term averages very far away, 100W @ $412, 200W @ $235.
- Bearish divergence on both RSI and MACD
- 50D average might "death cross" 100D in the next month

Looks like a distribution to me, might push to a "UTAD" above 1200, but imo the normalization this year is inevitable, at least touching 100W average.

I'm not shorting it because it has the "crypto-like" potential for a final push-up :) That's what so many people's love makes, before bigger money managers pull the rug.
Might pick some around EoY 2022, seeing the progress to the downside.

Cheers,
Antonio

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