Tesla (TSLA) confirmed the Bull Flag from our last analysis one month ago and broke out of it while holding twice the Higher Lows trend-line from the June 16 Low:
The last touch was three days ago and naturally that is giving the stock a short-term (at least) boost. The price completed the 1D MA50/ MA100 Bullish Cross last month but now is ahead of the critical Golden Cross formation (when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line)). If completed, it will be the first occurrence since August 2021. Technically that should be a strong bullish signal but the Higher Lows trend-line plays an equally important role. If broken the uptrend may turn into the (green) Rectangle pattern that has kept the price from breaking above 315.00 three times.
This is approximately where the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level is and if broken we can finally see the bullish rally completing a new Lower High at the top of the long-term Channel Down. A break below the Rectangle, can test the 0.236 Fibonacci as the next Support level. Keep an eye on the MACD (1W time-frame). It is still on a Bullish Cross but a new Bearish Cross could mean a new round of medium-term selling towards the bottom of the Channel Down, much like the Jan 05 and April 28 Bearish Crosses.
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