TSLA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-17)
Below is an integrated analysis of the reports and market data:
──────────────────────────────
MODEL REPORTS – KEY POINTS
• Grok/xAI – Price and moving averages on both 5‑min and daily charts are below key EMAs; RSI and MACD point to current bearish momentum. – Notable technical support at about 239.75 with resistance above near 242. – The options chain shows heavy put activity at the $240 strike (premium about 0.67), and max pain is at 245, although that level is less relevant for a near‐term (0DTE) trade. – Recommendation: Trade the TSLA $240 PUT at an ask of 0.67 at the open, aiming for roughly a 100% gain and using about a 50% loss as a stop.
• Gemini/Google – Technicals on short‐term and daily timeframes are mixed: the daily chart is clearly bearish while some 5‑min indicators hint at stabilization. – Conflicting signals (including the max pain pull toward 245 and falling VIX) result in not having a high‑conviction directional bias. – Conclusion: “No trade” is recommended today because the conflicting indicators raise the risk of getting whipsawed.
• Claude/Anthropic – Technical analysis on both 5‑min and daily confirms a moderately bearish bias (price well below major EMAs, RSI below 50). – However, one suggested trade was a TSLA $237.50 PUT at an extremely low premium (0.13) which seems less attractive given the preferred premium range. – In essence, the model sees downside potential but selected a strike a bit further out from the current price.
• Llama/Meta – A moderately bearish setup is noted, with the technical picture similar to the others on very short‐term charts. – However, the model also flags the influence of max pain at 245 and concludes that a naked call (for example, at the $240 or $242.50 strike) could profit if the upward “max pain pull” works in play. – Ultimately, this view contrasts with the put trades favored by others.
• DeepSeek – Confirms the overall technical picture: price is below key averages, with bearish momentum evident on both 5‑min and daily charts. – Emphasizes the high open interest on $240 puts and the near-term support at 239.75. – Recommends buying the TSLA $240 PUT at its 0.67 ask price for this weekly (0DTE) option. ────────────────────────────── 2. AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT
Agreements: – Most reports note that TSLA is trading in a moderately bearish state with price below the relevant moving averages and key support levels near 239.75. – There is broad recognition that options activity is concentrated around the $240 strike—especially on the put side, where volume and open interest are very high, underscoring bearish positioning. – Technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands) on short‑term and daily charts lean toward bearishness despite some very short‑term signals of stabilization.
Disagreements: – Gemini/Google sees too many conflicting signals (including the upward pull implied by max pain) and hence recommends no trade, while the majority of the other analysts view the setup as tradeable. – Llama/Meta is open to trading a naked call (capitalizing on the max pain influence) whereas Grok/xAI, DeepSeek, and to a lesser degree Claude/Anthropic advocate for a bearish put trade instead. ────────────────────────────── 3. CONCLUSION & TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Most opinions point to a moderately bearish bias for TSLA on a near-term, 0DTE weekly horizon. Even though conflicting signals (like max pain toward 245 and some stabilization on very short timeframes) introduce uncertainty, the weight of the technicals and put side open interest lean toward downside pressure.
Recommended Trade: Trade a single‑leg, naked PUT (weekly option) on TSLA.
Trade Parameters: – Instrument: TSLA – Strategy: Buy a TSLA $240 PUT – Expiration: 2025‑04‑17 (weekly, 0DTE) – Premium: Approximately $0.67 per contract (slightly above the preferred range, but justified by high liquidity and clear technical support) – Entry Timing: At the open – Profit Target: Around 100% gain from the entry premium (i.e. exit near a $1.34 premium) – Stop‑Loss: Roughly a 50% loss at about $0.33 per contract – Confidence Level: Approximately 65% – Key Risks & Considerations: • The mixed signals (especially Gemini’s caution and the max pain theory) mean price could quickly reverse if TSLA rebounds near 245. • Very short‑term trading (0DTE) carries risks related to rapid time decay and volatility spikes. • A failure to break important support (around 239.75) would warrant an early exit. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "TSLA", "direction": "put", "strike": 240.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.34, "stop_loss": 0.33, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.67, "entry_timing": "open" }
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
Below is an integrated analysis of the reports and market data:
──────────────────────────────
MODEL REPORTS – KEY POINTS
• Grok/xAI – Price and moving averages on both 5‑min and daily charts are below key EMAs; RSI and MACD point to current bearish momentum. – Notable technical support at about 239.75 with resistance above near 242. – The options chain shows heavy put activity at the $240 strike (premium about 0.67), and max pain is at 245, although that level is less relevant for a near‐term (0DTE) trade. – Recommendation: Trade the TSLA $240 PUT at an ask of 0.67 at the open, aiming for roughly a 100% gain and using about a 50% loss as a stop.
• Gemini/Google – Technicals on short‐term and daily timeframes are mixed: the daily chart is clearly bearish while some 5‑min indicators hint at stabilization. – Conflicting signals (including the max pain pull toward 245 and falling VIX) result in not having a high‑conviction directional bias. – Conclusion: “No trade” is recommended today because the conflicting indicators raise the risk of getting whipsawed.
• Claude/Anthropic – Technical analysis on both 5‑min and daily confirms a moderately bearish bias (price well below major EMAs, RSI below 50). – However, one suggested trade was a TSLA $237.50 PUT at an extremely low premium (0.13) which seems less attractive given the preferred premium range. – In essence, the model sees downside potential but selected a strike a bit further out from the current price.
• Llama/Meta – A moderately bearish setup is noted, with the technical picture similar to the others on very short‐term charts. – However, the model also flags the influence of max pain at 245 and concludes that a naked call (for example, at the $240 or $242.50 strike) could profit if the upward “max pain pull” works in play. – Ultimately, this view contrasts with the put trades favored by others.
• DeepSeek – Confirms the overall technical picture: price is below key averages, with bearish momentum evident on both 5‑min and daily charts. – Emphasizes the high open interest on $240 puts and the near-term support at 239.75. – Recommends buying the TSLA $240 PUT at its 0.67 ask price for this weekly (0DTE) option. ────────────────────────────── 2. AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT
Agreements: – Most reports note that TSLA is trading in a moderately bearish state with price below the relevant moving averages and key support levels near 239.75. – There is broad recognition that options activity is concentrated around the $240 strike—especially on the put side, where volume and open interest are very high, underscoring bearish positioning. – Technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands) on short‑term and daily charts lean toward bearishness despite some very short‑term signals of stabilization.
Disagreements: – Gemini/Google sees too many conflicting signals (including the upward pull implied by max pain) and hence recommends no trade, while the majority of the other analysts view the setup as tradeable. – Llama/Meta is open to trading a naked call (capitalizing on the max pain influence) whereas Grok/xAI, DeepSeek, and to a lesser degree Claude/Anthropic advocate for a bearish put trade instead. ────────────────────────────── 3. CONCLUSION & TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Most opinions point to a moderately bearish bias for TSLA on a near-term, 0DTE weekly horizon. Even though conflicting signals (like max pain toward 245 and some stabilization on very short timeframes) introduce uncertainty, the weight of the technicals and put side open interest lean toward downside pressure.
Recommended Trade: Trade a single‑leg, naked PUT (weekly option) on TSLA.
Trade Parameters: – Instrument: TSLA – Strategy: Buy a TSLA $240 PUT – Expiration: 2025‑04‑17 (weekly, 0DTE) – Premium: Approximately $0.67 per contract (slightly above the preferred range, but justified by high liquidity and clear technical support) – Entry Timing: At the open – Profit Target: Around 100% gain from the entry premium (i.e. exit near a $1.34 premium) – Stop‑Loss: Roughly a 50% loss at about $0.33 per contract – Confidence Level: Approximately 65% – Key Risks & Considerations: • The mixed signals (especially Gemini’s caution and the max pain theory) mean price could quickly reverse if TSLA rebounds near 245. • Very short‑term trading (0DTE) carries risks related to rapid time decay and volatility spikes. • A failure to break important support (around 239.75) would warrant an early exit. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "TSLA", "direction": "put", "strike": 240.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.34, "stop_loss": 0.33, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.67, "entry_timing": "open" }
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
📈 QuantDev
💰 AI-Driven Systematic Trading🔑
💻 Building QuantSignals.XYZ
⬇️ Daily Free $SPX $BTC Signals ⬇️
💰 AI-Driven Systematic Trading🔑
💻 Building QuantSignals.XYZ
⬇️ Daily Free $SPX $BTC Signals ⬇️
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.