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Tesla Stock Goes 'Interesting', Ahead of Earnings Call

Tesla is preparing to release its fourth-quarter earnings report on January 29, 2025, and analysts are closely watching the stock as it approaches this key event.

Here are some important points regarding Tesla's current stock situation and what to expect:

Current Stock Performance


Tesla shares have seen a 10% increase in 2025, but recently experienced a more than 5% decline, trading at Monday's pre-marker below $400, approximately $395.
The stock's valuation is considered high, with some analysts stating it is "priced for perfection," indicating that any earnings miss could lead to a significant pullback.

Earnings Expectations

Analysts forecast earnings per share (EPS) of 72 cents and revenue of $27.23 billion for the fourth quarter.
Gross profit margins are expected to widen slightly to 18.85%.

Key Factors Influencing Stock Valuation

👉 Delivery Performance. Tesla's deliveries were slightly below expectations in 2024, with 1.79 million units delivered, compared to 1.81 million in 20231. Investors will be keenly interested in guidance for 2025, especially with increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers like BYD and NIO.
👉 New Vehicle Launches/ The anticipated launch of the smaller SUV, referred to as the Model Q, is expected later this year, which could impact Tesla's growth trajectory.
👉 Technological Developments. Progress in autonomous driving software and energy generation will also be focal points during the earnings call.
👉 The company aims to launch its Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in specific U.S. states and expand its energy storage business.

Analyst Sentiment

There is a mix of opinions among analysts; while some maintain a cautious stance due to potential delivery shortfalls and market competition, others see Tesla as a strong buy-and-hold investment for the long term.
The average price target among analysts is around $345.11, suggesting a potential downside from current levels.

Technical Sentiment

Technical graph indicates on epic upside channel breakthrough, as a result of China DeepSeek AI model influence.
Ahead of Tesla Earnings Call our "super-duper" Team is Bearishly calling to $300 per Tesla share, that is correspond to major current support of 125-day SMA.

Conclusion


As Tesla approaches its earnings report, investors should remain vigilant about delivery numbers and guidance for the upcoming year. The stock's high valuation combined with competitive pressures makes it susceptible to volatility based on the forthcoming financial results.

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January 29, 2025

U.S. Team tends to liquidate Irrational exuberance for Tesla ̶b̶r̶o̶m̶a̶n̶c̶e̶ ̶ stock.
Here's below alternate view ahead of Earnings report - Tesla stock monthly options.

Put options, 350 strike, for Feb 21, 2025

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