US 100
Long

NASDAQ: 50% probability that this Golden Cross is bearish.

244
Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.920, MACD = 61.810, ADX = 33.031) as it continues its recovery from the Low of the previous month. In the meantime, it formed a 4H Golden Cross, the first since January 23rd. Even though this is a bullish pattern theoretically, it often doesn't deliver an immediate rise. More specifically, since the October 2022 market bottom, Nasdaq has had another 10 Golden Crosses on the 4H timeframe. The interesting statistic is that 5 have extended their rallies but the other 5 cuased a pullback (short or medium term). Consequently we call for caution in the next 2 weeks, as the market may correct towards the 4H MA200 before it resumes the long term uptrend.


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