USD/CAD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, here's a detailed analysis for potential future movements, along with suggested entry, take profit (TP), and stop loss (SL) levels based on a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio.
Analysis:
1. Trend Observation:
Uptrend: USD/CAD has shown strong bullish momentum, reaching new highs in the recent period. The pair appears to be in an uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: Around 1.3950 (near recent highs). This level has been tested but not broken, indicating selling pressure.
Support: Around 1.3810 and 1.3680. These levels have previously seen buying interest and could provide support if there is a retracement.
3. Potential Scenarios and Setups:
Bullish Scenario (If uptrend continues):
USD/CAD may find support near 1.3810, and a bullish reversal from this level could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
Watch for bullish confirmation signals such as strong green candles near support.
Bearish Scenario (If resistance holds or a reversal occurs):
If USD/CAD fails to break above 1.3950 and shows signs of reversal, a pullback towards support at 1.3680 is possible.
Strategy Summary:
1. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Both setups are designed to provide a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio.
2. Market Confirmation: Wait for confirmation patterns (e.g., candlestick patterns like engulfing candles) before entering to increase the probability of success.
3. Monitor Economic Events: USD/CAD can be impacted by U.S. and Canadian economic announcements, oil prices, and interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada.