Opinion: I think we're hanging out in the right armpit of a Loonie Head & Shoulders formation. It's easier to see on a weekly chart.
Also, we have a daily support zone marked at 1.3381.
The Situation: Executed a long position over 2 hours ago at 1.3385 with stops at 1.3375, which were immediately challenged by price action with an immediate new low at 1.3376; A painful entry. Stops were retreated to 1.3370, price checked out 1.3374, then assaulted 1.3373. We survived. We're in.
If I'm right about this H&S formation armpit play, this armpit bottom should open a rally to 1.3667ish - The top of the right shoulder.
Risk: Trading against the trend is ill advised, but I've been watching this thing form up for weeks. Even got savagely ranged for a series of losses (5 small paper cuts) trying to short the play from 1.36ish.
Entry: Decided to post idea after price spared our stop losses and pushed out of support to trade above 1.3380 with a tenuous buy signal from my sidelined day trading setup (I don't day trade and scoff at scalping).
Techs: No indicator support. It's a formation play. A pure price + head & shoulders & support zone bullish preemptive strike idea. Wish us luck!
Commentary: A low risk situation with a high probability of success, but I don't like it. It's at odds with my trading set up. Don't like buying or calling bottoms. However, buying the right armpit from a seemingly confluent support zone while risking a friendly 15 pips for obscene gains seems like the right thing to do. LONG!
Expected Trade Duration: Hours to Days. Might run into next week if it behaves.
May try this idea again if a good long develops at this level. Idea is dead for now.
Note
It appears that we'll get another chance to get long. Price is putting in a bottom with a tenuous buy signal developing at our support zone of 1.3380ish.
I might try another long position in the next 2-4 hours. If I get in, I'll post an update.
Trader since 2006. Investor since 2019. Chart Technician & Technical Strategist. Texas native. #HustleFirst #SupremeHustle #SupremeFinesse
@vizfact on Public.com
Also on:
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.