USDCHF has moved quite nicely, according to previous analysis, showing persistent in the bearish trend, and went on to level 2 bearish zone. However, in week 5, it seems to halt and change the direction. I am heavy in shorting USDCHF, and I ended with about 4% overall equity loss but was helped by profits from other pairs which ended my January with negative 0.4%.
Thankfully, USDCHF did give enough time for me to review and rethink about the direction, it does it over the course of week 5. If not I would have achieved much higher losses.
As I highlighted in on the graph, there is a big price swipe which breaks below the low of level 2 bearish zone and went back up breaking the high of the level 3, reversal price pattern. I read this as an action of reset because it reset the high of the bearish trend and it also creates a new low in the bearish trend.
Following the reset, we see a reversal price pattern, a double bottom and followed by a price ending in the zone of the area of the reversal zone.
The analysis gave me comfort and confidence that in the mid-term trend, the price would rise. I would expect the coming Monday or Tuesday to have an explosive upward movement of the price.
With my current strategy, I would expect it to complete a 3 level of rising before heading down. So come Monday, I would be entering long together with short in EURUSD.
I am more confident with the direction of EURUSD, USDCHF, and GBPUSD. For USDJPY, I would like to seek more confirmation with the coming week 6 movement.
If you have any thoughts on USDCHFs movement for the coming weeks, please share them below, I look forward to learning and staying profitable together. Please help me like this analysis, and follow me for my weekly updates!