USDJPY Beyond Technical Analysis: Hypothetical Plan
I was focused a lot in yen performance throughout the starting day of the week when it posted out weak GDP after then some gloomy industrial reports I got hooked with the yen so far. Us had some report good some bad but till now it hadn't posted any top tier reports which could change the bullish sentiment flow of greenback but now I assume it's too much for this pair to reach this high level taking concern to its daily average true range which it is close enough and bulls are already tired to push this pair forward. Hypothetically talking in my opinion greenback took a lot of advantage from yen weakness throughout the start of the week. Knowing that the US most of the highlighted reports like inflation, some FOMC members speech, housing reports will be printed within some hours so who knows it can also be a "Pump and dump" scenario if the US has some gloomy outlook over those highlighted reports. All those earlier pumps can just end up being an overvalued price that traders priced in before knowing the actual outcome of reports from the US. They had bets on greenback being optimistic on it and at this point hypothetically talking the one who priced in may make a double target which I mean by closing the long position he/she had if the US news-bad release (profit taking) and then adding back another short position just to ride the possible new fresh downside which technically it's already an overbought as daily ATR has reached its limit 43pips. This is not a guaranteed investment I am taking some risk self on it just to play how this scenario works out and kept my risk very low. Those who are inspired by the plan and wish to follow the trade idea don't forget to manage position sizing properly to minimize any big unexpected risk.
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