USDJPY Similar pattern to a year ago
If you look at the USDJPY pattern from last year (there was a rate hike on Dec 13, 2017), a top and then three increasingly lower tops before a strong pullback, it looks very much like this year, 49 weeks later. Supporting this is a mirror fractal (shown in yellow) from the last recovery. If the pattern continues, we could see 105-106 in March 2019. The pattern also fits my CAC40 fractal idea earlier.
The CIBC analysis reported on FXStreet.com supports this view, as do earlier forecasts by ExchangeRates.org.uk, and JPMorgan who predict a bottom at 104 in March 2019 and then a recovery.
The trade is to take advantage of the bounce from the 200-day SMA we hit on Dec 20, and short 111.50 for 105, with a 100 pip stop, which is 6.5:1
The CIBC analysis reported on FXStreet.com supports this view, as do earlier forecasts by ExchangeRates.org.uk, and JPMorgan who predict a bottom at 104 in March 2019 and then a recovery.
The trade is to take advantage of the bounce from the 200-day SMA we hit on Dec 20, and short 111.50 for 105, with a 100 pip stop, which is 6.5:1
Trade active
First leg of decline reachedTrade closed: target reached
Well there we go, the 5.83% profit (before leverage) target reached early due to Mrs Watanabe on tiny volume. Who knows it might do it again.
David Atherton
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
David Atherton
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.