As you are aware, I've held a bullish outlook on USDJPY and anticipated a rise from the 145.50-146 zone. My target of 150 has not only been met but surpassed. However, after peaking for the year at 150.87, the pair initiated a minor correction and started to consolidate.
While we lack confirmation for a reversal at the moment, there are indications suggesting one might occur. Firstly, the 150-151 zone appears to be a region the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is determined to defend. Secondly, the reversal from the peak is an Evening Star candlestick pattern, commonly associated with reversals. Thirdly, as detailed in a DXY analysis from two days ago, the USD may encounter headwinds and begin to decline.
As mentioned, confirmation is crucial, which would need a break below the 149.50-149 zone. In the event of such a break, the pair could potentially drop by 400 pips to the significant 145 level.
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