USDNOK Channeling Towards 9.35

Updated
Trend Analysis
The main view of this trade idea is on the 2-Hr Chart.

There appears to be an upward trend channel developing for USDNOK. Higher lows are observed around the 8.63 and 8.76 price levels. Higher highs are seen around the 9.00 and 9.10 price levels. Expectations for the fx cross to continue higher in the trend channel, taking USDNOK towards 9.35. A breakdown in the rally of USDNOK will be observed if the fx cross falls below 8.80.

snapshot

On the longer term timeframe, if USDNOK breaks above the resistance of the upward trend level, the fx cross can rally towards 9.80.

Technical Indicators
The technical indicators are pointing out that USDNOK will rally over the next couple of months. USDNOK is above its long-term Moving Average (440-MA) and is in a bullish mode for the Supertrend Indicator. The Supertrend is also producing higher lows and higher highs, similar to the upward trend channel. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) is above 0 and green and the RSI is above the 50 level.

Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 8.80 and a target of 9.35. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.60.

Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
Trade closed: stop reached
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