Bitcoin and usdt.d percentage comparison + theory

Updated
Why does my theory say usdt.d will NEVER go below 3.8%?
Major usdt.d falling below the previous major drop has never happened and is suspected even today.

Major rises in usdt.d have always(*when i mean *major*) started above the previous usdt.d major high.

Depending on the movement or the situation, the average calculation is that *if btc goes down, usdt.d goes up about twice as much*. On smaller usdt.d increases 1.5x and on larger ones 2x or even 3x more than bitcoin. It also depends on the speed(volume) at which the usdt market capital rises, everything is relative

if I think positively and see that the yellow box is about 150%+, then I divide it by three and get the btc drop percentage. it makes btc -50% from higher peak. it can also be less than -50%. THIS IS AN APPROXIMATE CALCULATION AND ONLY A GUESS. theory and assumption that btc's strong rise will start when usdt.d is at a new high.

I will analyze bitcoin this year *minimum* 45k. it may drop to 40k, but time will tell. in the area where btc is now i don't believe a 100k+ rise because usdt.d theory doesn't allow it. maybe next year? hmm.

The summary is that if usdt.d is in the yellow area, then btc rises.

My vision may be absolutely wrong or absolutely true. MD
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My active btc analysis with main focus on updates
Bitcoin Panic
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Do we believe that history repeats itself? then we believe more decline.
i like market psychology.
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if you look at the situation visually, red rsi in September and October is possible, which means green in the market. but in the bigger picture the situation is expected to be shit.
just my theory that could be wrong
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My big picture today is until the end of this year but even bigger is 2025 or more doesn't mean that btc could never rise to 100k++ in the future
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This THEORY is one of my favorites
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