After the technical correction experienced in the market last Friday, the wrecked oil market had what is considered a flat trading week, forming a consolidation channel within 25- & 21-dollar range, market sentiment remains skeptical with investors in “sit-and-wait” mode weighting the outcomes of events in different fronts before placing their bets.
On one side, the market is waiting for April to validate the ramp-up in production announced by the Saudis that will overflow the market with the black commodity, budgetary cuts in major oil producers’ companies were also announced. And last but not least, the confirmation this week of a possible alliance between the US and Saudis to curb the damaged oil market.
The technical chart does not say much. The market is still under intense bearish pressure, trading within a consolidation channel. Here MACD also confirms a flat trading week. Moving averages reducing their falling angle.
Although not comment on the alliance front, the news was enough to booth the sentiment in the market. Big oil players are already announcing a significant cut in spending, as the oil price remains in the $20 handle. It is a fact that with current oil prices, US oilfields activity will collapse.
Additionally, as the virus continues to destroy demand, Australian refiners viva energy (ax:vea) and Caltex Australia ltd (ax:ctx) said they expect jet fuel demand to shrink by 80% to 90% due to air travel grinding close to a halt and plan to take in less crude.
With price showing enough room to fall further, the price could reach levels previously seen in 1986 or 1998 of around $10 per barrel.
Leaving aside the presumption of the ability to predict the market, technically and fundamentally speaking, the carts are on the table. Let’s stay in the “wait-and-watch” mode until further notice. Happy weekend ahead. See you next Friday.
On one side, the market is waiting for April to validate the ramp-up in production announced by the Saudis that will overflow the market with the black commodity, budgetary cuts in major oil producers’ companies were also announced. And last but not least, the confirmation this week of a possible alliance between the US and Saudis to curb the damaged oil market.
The technical chart does not say much. The market is still under intense bearish pressure, trading within a consolidation channel. Here MACD also confirms a flat trading week. Moving averages reducing their falling angle.
Although not comment on the alliance front, the news was enough to booth the sentiment in the market. Big oil players are already announcing a significant cut in spending, as the oil price remains in the $20 handle. It is a fact that with current oil prices, US oilfields activity will collapse.
Additionally, as the virus continues to destroy demand, Australian refiners viva energy (ax:vea) and Caltex Australia ltd (ax:ctx) said they expect jet fuel demand to shrink by 80% to 90% due to air travel grinding close to a halt and plan to take in less crude.
With price showing enough room to fall further, the price could reach levels previously seen in 1986 or 1998 of around $10 per barrel.
Leaving aside the presumption of the ability to predict the market, technically and fundamentally speaking, the carts are on the table. Let’s stay in the “wait-and-watch” mode until further notice. Happy weekend ahead. See you next Friday.
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FEEL FREE TO CHECK MY SOCIAL NETWORKS FOR MORE MARKET INFORMATION 🇺🇸 🇪🇸
INSTAGRAM:
instagram.com/og.fxtrader
FREE TELEGRAM:
t.me/ogfxtrader
TWITTER
twitter.com/ogfxtrader
FACEBOOK
facebook.com/ogfxtrader
INSTAGRAM:
instagram.com/og.fxtrader
FREE TELEGRAM:
t.me/ogfxtrader
twitter.com/ogfxtrader
facebook.com/ogfxtrader
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.