A Possible Recession Coming: What to Invest in During Difficult
Chart Analysis:
The chart depicts the relationship between the M2 money supply, US Consumer Price Index (CPI), labor market trends, and historical recessions. Key observations include:
Recessions:
-Historical recessions are marked and correlated with significant economic downturns.
-Each recession coincides with substantial drops in the labor market and fluctuations in the M2 money supply and CPI.
M2 Money Supply and US CPI:
-The M2 money supply (blue line) shows a steady increase over the years, reflecting ongoing monetary expansion.
-The US CPI (orange line) follows a similar upward trend, indicating rising consumer prices and inflation.
Current Economic Conditions:
-The chart suggests a potential recession on the horizon, marked by the recent economic indicators and historical patterns.
Bitcoin's Role in the Current Economic System:
This is the reason the goverments wants to stop Bitcoin. People want out of their slave system where they create abundance for themselves with money printing while our labor value is always decreasing.
Recession Expectations and Market Opportunities:
Be open to a recession in the coming winter. The CME is having a meeting today where there is a 5% chance for a 0.25 rate cut and a 95% chance for a cut in September. Historically, there is a two-month window where the market booms and then rolls over into a recession after rate cuts. This supports the idea of a left-translated cycle and a longer multi-year cycle. For more information, see "The Fourth Turning."
Investment Opportunities_
With this information, there can be good opportunities to get in early on investments in the precious metal markets like gold and silver, and also mining stocks. Production materials like copper, oil, and steel can be great shorting opportunities in the coming weeks and months.
Conclusion:
Understanding these economic indicators and historical patterns provides valuable insights for making informed investment decisions. While the future economic landscape looks challenging, strategic investments in precious metals and shorting opportunities in production materials could offer significant returns.
The chart depicts the relationship between the M2 money supply, US Consumer Price Index (CPI), labor market trends, and historical recessions. Key observations include:
Recessions:
-Historical recessions are marked and correlated with significant economic downturns.
-Each recession coincides with substantial drops in the labor market and fluctuations in the M2 money supply and CPI.
M2 Money Supply and US CPI:
-The M2 money supply (blue line) shows a steady increase over the years, reflecting ongoing monetary expansion.
-The US CPI (orange line) follows a similar upward trend, indicating rising consumer prices and inflation.
Current Economic Conditions:
-The chart suggests a potential recession on the horizon, marked by the recent economic indicators and historical patterns.
Bitcoin's Role in the Current Economic System:
This is the reason the goverments wants to stop Bitcoin. People want out of their slave system where they create abundance for themselves with money printing while our labor value is always decreasing.
Recession Expectations and Market Opportunities:
Be open to a recession in the coming winter. The CME is having a meeting today where there is a 5% chance for a 0.25 rate cut and a 95% chance for a cut in September. Historically, there is a two-month window where the market booms and then rolls over into a recession after rate cuts. This supports the idea of a left-translated cycle and a longer multi-year cycle. For more information, see "The Fourth Turning."
Investment Opportunities_
With this information, there can be good opportunities to get in early on investments in the precious metal markets like gold and silver, and also mining stocks. Production materials like copper, oil, and steel can be great shorting opportunities in the coming weeks and months.
Conclusion:
Understanding these economic indicators and historical patterns provides valuable insights for making informed investment decisions. While the future economic landscape looks challenging, strategic investments in precious metals and shorting opportunities in production materials could offer significant returns.
Disclaimer
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