OIL: Expected to rebound to $80
The oil price also rose nearly $2 under the stimulus of data, reaching a high near $77. On the 30-minute chart, oil underwent a wave of pullback after consolidating near 76.6, and its current position is the previous consolidation level, which has some resistance but not strong. The short-term strong resistance should be around 77.4.
From a technical standpoint, the current process resembles the formation of a U-shaped bottom, with the MACD indicator in a crossover state. If a death cross occurs, it means that oil prices will experience a short-term pullback to seek support, which is likely to be around 75.6-76.
On the 4-hour chart, oil has been oscillating within a box range, and the range of 81-82 is a strong pressure level. The MACD indicator has formed a golden cross, and unless there are unexpected events, the oil price is expected to touch near 81 in the near future.
Therefore, I believe that the current focus should be on long positions for oil, with buying points around the support level near 76. The first target is around 78, and the second target is around 80. If it breaks through 80, it can go up to around 82.
The probability of a one-step trend is not high, and oscillating upward is the most likely event. Every pullback after each rise will be a very good long entry point.
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