Market Overview:
📉 WTI at $66.00: Trading defensively near a three-year low amid tariff concerns and OPEC+ output hikes.
📊 Inventory Build: A larger-than-expected US crude inventory build (up by 3.614M barrels vs. a forecasted decline) is adding pressure on prices.
⚖️ Tariff Uncertainty: Despite Trump's recent executive order exempting goods from Canada and Mexico under USMCA, overall tariff uncertainty remains a key concern.
🔺 OPEC+ Output Increase: For the first time since 2022, OPEC+ has ramped up production, weighing further on WTI.
Technical Insights:
📉 Descending Channel: The 4H chart shows a clear descending channel. Watch for the potential break of the channel's resistance line to the upside.
🎯 Key Level: Next week, the critical level to monitor is $66.50 – consider a buy if prices break above, and sell if they remain below.
Upcoming Catalysts:
⏰ US Employment Data: Keep an eye on the Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, EIA and API report. A weaker-than-expected report could lift the USD and boost oil prices.
Stay Tuned:
I'll provide a detailed update at the beginning of next week. Follow along for more insights and actionable trading strategies!
#WTI #CrudeOil #OilTrading #OilMarket #CommodityTrading #EnergyMarket #OilPrice #MarketAnalysis #TradingInsights #OPEC
Happy trading!
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.