After a major breakout of the big rising wedge on 1D and 1W timeframes the oil price has been doing a correction. Now the price is reaching the previous structural ATH, which will possibly become a quite strong resistance. On the other hand, we can draw a bear flag pattern on 4H chart, which is a bearish AAD pattern to the long term rising wedge. Thus there are good odds for entering a quite successful long term short term on oil. On the other hand, if we take on the economic/fundamental side of the game:
The worldwide inflation is running crazy
The Fed had already increased the tapering speed, it is only a matter of time when they will completely stop QE and starting pushing up interest rates
The global auto market is rapidly developing in favor of EV vehicles which in turn decreases the oil demand
All in all, right it might be a good time to enter a long term short trade. Entry, TP, SL and scale-in points are on the graph.
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