XAU/USD 30 April 2025 Intraday Analysis

21
H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025

Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.

Price is now trading within an established internal range.

Intraday Expectation:

Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.

Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.

H4 Chart: snapshot

M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.

Analysis and Bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 April 2025.

Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback.

Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure.

Intraday Expectation:

Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.

Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.

M15 Chart: snapshot

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