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Gold, represented as XAU USD, is currently trading at 1980 USD. While many market participants expect gold to break its previous high of 2080 USD, there are diverging opinions on the future price direction of gold. In this analysis, we will explore the fundamental and technical factors that could influence the price of gold in the short and long term.
Fundamentally, gold is seen as a safe haven asset, and its price is often influenced by geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty. The US dollar is also an important factor in the price of gold, as they are inversely correlated. As the dollar weakens, gold becomes relatively cheaper for holders of other currencies, and demand for gold tends to increase. Conversely, when the dollar strengthens, the demand for gold weakens.
Currently, tensions around the world are high, and there is economic uncertainty in various regions. The US dollar is also under pressure due to the increasing national debt and the ongoing tensions. These factors suggest that demand for gold could increase in the short term. However, I believe that the US will not allow markets to turn against the dollar, which could impact the price of gold.
From a technical perspective, i believe that gold is currently undergoing a correction on the weekly time frame. This correction is targeting the downward support zone, which intersects with the golden ratio of Fibonacci at 1370-1500 USD dollars. This zone is seen as an attractive level to buy gold. Fibonacci ratios are often used by technical analysts to identify potential levels of support and resistance in financial markets.
In summary, the current price of gold is 1980 USD, and there are diverging opinions on its future price direction. While geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty could support the price of gold in the short term, the US dollar and government intervention in markets could limit its upside potential. From a technical perspective, gold is currently undergoing a correction, and a potential buying opportunity is seen at the support zone of 1370-1500 USD dollars
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