NFP
There were 12 negative and 10 positive NFP surprises in the previous 22 releases, excluding data for March 2021. On average, the deviation was -0.86 on disappointing prints and 0.6 on strong figures. 15 minutes after the release, gold moved up by $3.97 on average if the NFP reading fell short of market consensus. On the flip side, gold declined by $1.44 on average on positive surprises. This finding suggests that investors’ immediate reaction is likely to be more significant to a disappointing print.