XAU/USD 25 March 2025 Intraday Analysis

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H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Bias and analysis remains the same as analysis dated 23 March 2025.

Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs.

Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.

Intraday Expectation:

Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.

Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.

H4 Chart: snapshot

M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.

Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 March 2025.

As per analysis dated 19 March 2025 whereby I mentioned as an alternative scenario that internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.

This is how price printed, by printing a bearish iBOS.

Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, however, price has traded into premium of 50% internal EQ, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range.

Intraday Expectation:

Price has traded in to premium of 50% EQ and has mitigated M15 supply zone.

Technically, price to target weak internal low priced at 2,999.465.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.

M15 Chart: snapshot

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