Long

London to NYC Session Domination: A Market Maker Playbook

This roadmap is designed as a dynamic, evolving story that adapts to XAU/USD price movements, exploiting prey traders during the London session, pre-NYC volatility, and NYC session momentum. It integrates market maker methodologies, multi-timeframe confluence, and institutional-level insights to trap and profit from liquidity.

XAU/USD Trading Plan

1- Buy Entries

Liquidity Trap Long:
Entry: $2,648-$2,650 (VAL).
SL: $2,645.
TP1: $2,657 (POC).
TP2: $2,663 (LVN).
TP3: $2,668 (VAH).

Breakout Long:
Entry: Buy Stop at $2,664.
SL: $2,657.
TP1: $2,668 (VAH).
TP2: $2,671 (VWAP Upper Band).
TP3: $2,680 (Institutional Resistance).

Momentum Long (Above $2,671):
Entry: Buy Stop at $2,675.
SL: $2,671.
TP1: $2,680.
TP2: $2,688.

2-Sell Entries
Bull Trap Short:
Entry: Sell Limit at $2,671.
SL: $2,674.
TP1: $2,668 (VAH).
TP2: $2,663 (Breakout Zone).
TP3: $2,657 (Liquidity Zone).

Reversal Short (At $2,680):
Entry: Sell Limit at $2,680.
SL: $2,683.
TP1: $2,671 (VWAP Upper Band).
TP2: $2,663 (Breakout Zone).
TP3: $2,657 (Liquidity Zone).

1. The Setup: Current Market Context
Primary Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart (Execution Focus).
Support Charts:
5-Minute: Precision entries/exits.
1-Hour & 4-Hour: Intraday trend confirmation.
Daily: Macro bias alignment.
Key Levels:
Support Zones:
$2,648 (VAL, liquidity sweep potential).
$2,657 (POC, consolidation magnet).
Resistance Zones:
$2,668 (VAH, breakout level).
$2,671 (VWAP Upper Band).
$2,680 (Institutional Resistance).
Indicators:
VWAP Bands, Ichimoku, MACD, RSI, Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D) for confirmation.
Volume Profile and liquidity zones guide entries.

2. Story Begins: Roadmap to Trading Price Movements

Scenario 1: Liquidity Trap Below $2,648 (Bear Trap)
Step 1: Monitor Price Behavior
If price dips below $2,648 (VAL):
Watch for bullish reversal candlestick patterns (hammer, engulfing) on the 5-minute chart.
Check for RSI bullish divergence and rising volume.
Entry Setup:
Limit Buy at $2,648-$2,650.
Stop Loss (SL): $2,645 (just below liquidity trap).
Targets:
TP1: $2,657 (POC) – Close 50% of the position here.
TP2: $2,663 (LVN breakout zone) – Close 30%.
TP3: $2,668 (VAH breakout level) – Close the remaining 20%.
~~What-If Scenarios:~~
If price reverses below $2,645:
Close the trade and wait for confirmation above $2,648 to re-enter.
If price continues above $2,657:
Move SL to breakeven ($2,648) and prepare to scale in above $2,663 with an additional 0.5 lots.

Scenario 2: Breakout Above $2,664 (FVG Zone)
Step 1: Anticipate the Breakout
If price consolidates above $2,664:
Look for volume surge and MACD histogram shift upward.
Confirm breakout with bullish RSI (above 60).
Entry Setup:
Buy Stop at $2,664.
Stop Loss (SL): $2,657 (below POC).
Targets:
TP1: $2,668 (VAH) – Close 40%.
TP2: $2,671 (VWAP Upper Band) – Close 30%.
TP3: $2,680 (Institutional Resistance) – Close 30%.
~~What-If Scenarios:~~
If price hits $2,668 and stalls:
Scale out 50% of the remaining position and tighten SL to $2,663.
If price breaks $2,671:
Trail SL dynamically using VWAP bands (e.g., below $2,668).
Add 0.3 lots on confirmation with a TP of $2,680.
If price reverses below $2,664:
Exit the trade and re-evaluate at $2,657.

Scenario 3: Rejection at $2,671 (Bull Trap)
Step 1: Monitor for Rejection
If price approaches $2,671 and shows:
Bearish divergence on RSI.
Volume spike without follow-through.
Entry Setup:
Sell Limit at $2,671.
Stop Loss (SL): $2,674 (above resistance).
Targets:
TP1: $2,668 (VAH) – Close 50%.
TP2: $2,663 (POC) – Close 30%.
TP3: $2,657 (Liquidity Zone) – Close 20%.
~~What-If Scenarios:~~
If price reverses above $2,674:
Flip long with a Buy Stop at $2,675.
TP: $2,680-$2,688.

Scenario 4: Institutional Resistance at $2,680

Step 1: Prepare for Reversal or Continuation
If price reaches $2,680 (Institutional Resistance):
Look for order flow absorption and bearish reversal signals.
Check for RSI overbought conditions.
Entry Setup:
Sell Limit at $2,680.
Stop Loss (SL): $2,683.
Targets:
TP1: $2,671 (VWAP Upper Band) – Close 40%.
TP2: $2,663 (Breakout Zone) – Close 30%.
TP3: $2,657 (Liquidity Zone) – Close 30%.
~~What-If Scenarios:~~
If price breaks above $2,683:
Flip long with TP at $2,688 (next resistance).

3. Volume Breakouts and RSI Divergences

Volume Breakouts:
If a breakout above $2,664 aligns with a volume spike:
Add 0.5 lots at $2,668.
RSI Divergences:
If RSI shows bullish divergence near $2,648:
Enter long and hold until $2,657.

4. Scaling In/Out Rules

Scaling In:
Add positions on breakouts above $2,668 and $2,671, only with volume confirmation.
Scaling Out:
TP1: 40% of position (e.g., 0.4 lots).
TP2: 30% of position (e.g., 0.3 lots).
TP3: Remaining 30% (e.g., 0.3 lots).

5. Momentum and Session Overlaps

London to NYC Handover:
Expect increased volatility at VWAP bands ($2,671 and $2,647).
Prepare for breakouts or reversals around these zones.
NYC Session Volatility:
Focus on mean reversion at key Fibonacci levels or VWAP deviations.

6. Reversal and Re-Entry Strategy

If SL hits at $2,657:
Wait for price confirmation above $2,648 to re-enter long.
If price stalls at $2,671:
Exit partial positions and tighten SL.

ICHIMOKUontheNILE

Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
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