Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Updated

Gold Wave Analysis

1 725
Maximum target for Wave 5 is 2470.675 and Maximum target for entire wave is 2482.074

Price must overlap between these range.

September rate cut probability is 100% and price will in these days and no more big move after pricing in for September Cut.

All I see price is completing a Major 5th wave and each wave has 3 moves (abc)

An Ending Diagonal.
Note
snapshot

An Ascending Channel
Note
snapshot

As mentioned price is rejected from the maximum target of entire wave.
Note
snapshot

If the 5th wave is completed then the recent fall was wave A of Zigzag Correction.
I4 hour chart there is 5 moves in A which is indicating a ZigZag Correction and the B wave of zigzag should not retrace more than 50%.
If it does then the wave count is invalid.
Note
snapshot

Price is respecting the ascending channel.

If this channel is broken below, then we can expect a good correction towards any of these fibonacci level.

Remember 38.2% is the minimum target of this correction wheres 81.2% is the maximum.
Note
snapshot

Probable wave A is done of Zig Zag correction and now price will make wave B where there will be three moves and price should not retrace more than 50%. If it does than the whole wave count will be invalid.

Remember price can show rejection from any of fibonacci level (23.60, 38.20, 50)

Formation of Zig Zag Correction is 5-3-5 (A-B-C)
Note
snapshot
Note
Already hit the minimum target for wave C.

If price breaks the level of Wave B, then the correction is already completed and the current move is Wave 1 of the new impulse.
Note
snapshot
Note
snapshot
Note
snapshot

I have mentioned the minimum and maximum range of this correction.

We are at the beginning of wave C which will be a downward impulse.
Note
snapshot

Hourly Breakdown
Note
snapshot
Note
Only if ATH is broken...
Note
No ATH so more drop ahead
Note
snapshot

Either this drop is a part of correction.

How I can see the waves are happening in hourly chart.
Note
snapshot
Note
I am expecting price to rise towards 2440-2460 zone then a strong fall.
Note
Two scenarios are possible.

Either the latest draft or the previous draft before the latest one.
Note
snapshot
Note
snapshot

WXY = Double Correction

In W wave, there was an zigzag. After that price tried to make a new high but failed which is the Wave X.

Now price is forming a Flat Correction in Y wave.

This will not be a Y wave only if price breaks the level of X, then this will be third wave and the X will change into first wave.
Note
snapshot

Are we preparing for a big fall???

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.