XAU/USD 22 January 2025 Intraday Analysis

H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Analysis and Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.

Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.

Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.

Intraday Expectation:

Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.

It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.

H4 Chart: snapshot

M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Yesterday's bias and analysis was met with price targeting weak internal high and printing a further bullish iBOS

Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.

Price is now trading within an established internal range.

Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,758.670.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.

M15 Chart: snapshot
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